League Two Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2022 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT The Borough Sports Ground
  • Elkan Baggott 43' goal
  • Craig Eastmond 90'+3' goal
  • goal Robbie McKenzie 78'

Sutton United vs Gillingham - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sutton United

All competitions
Last game
Dec 26, 2022 3.00pm
Crawley 1 - 2 Sutton
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Omar Bugiel

Gillingham

All competitions
Last game
Dec 26, 2022 3.00pm
Gillingham 0 - 1 Colchester
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Tom Nichols

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 53.51%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 19.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.77%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (8.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.

Result

Sutton United 53.51% (-0.06)
Draw 27.31% (+0.04)
Gillingham 19.17% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

39.03% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 36.09% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 63.9% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 16.88% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 83.11% (+0.07)

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5 75.69% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 24.3% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 41.31% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 58.68% (+0.09)

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5 51.56% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 48.44% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 16.44% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 83.55% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Sutton United 53.5%
Draw 27.31%
Gillingham 19.17%
Sutton United
1-0 @ 16.65% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 11.77% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.54% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.55% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.03% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.96% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.46% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.42% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 53.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.07% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 11.77% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 3.09% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 27.31%
Gillingham
0-1 @ 8.53% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 4.38% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.09% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.06% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 19.17%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 12
Oct 1, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT MEMS Priestfield Stadium
  • Alex MacDonald 90'+1' goal