Accrington Stanley
Barnet
Barrow
Bristol Rovers
Bromley
Cambridge United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crawley Town
Crewe Alexandra
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Newport County
Notts County
Oldham Athletic
Salford City
Shrewsbury Town
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Championship header 2

League Two

Sutton United
League Two | Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
Gillingham

Sutton
2 - 1
Gillingham

Baggott (43' og.), Eastmond (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
McKenzie (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League Two clash between Sutton United and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sutton United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Crawley 1-2 Sutton
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

Gillingham

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 0-1 Colchester
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 53.51%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 19.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.77%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (8.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawGillingham
53.51% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)27.31% (0.036000000000001 0.04)19.17% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 39.03% (-0.055 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.09% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)63.9% (0.086000000000006 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.88% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)83.11% (0.061000000000007 0.06)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.69% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)24.3% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.31% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)58.68% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.56% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)48.44% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.44% (-0.023 -0.02)83.55% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 53.5%
    Gillingham 19.17%
    Draw 27.31%
Sutton UnitedDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 16.65% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 11.77% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.54% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.55% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.03% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.96% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.46% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.42% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 53.5%
1-1 @ 12.07% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 11.77% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.09% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 27.31%
0-1 @ 8.53% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.38% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 3.09% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.06% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 19.17%

How you voted: Sutton vs Gillingham

Sutton United
77.8%
Draw
22.2%
Gillingham
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Gillingham
1-0
Sutton
MacDonald (90+1')

John (58')