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Championship header 2

League Two

Crawley Town
League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Sutton United

Crawley
1 - 2
Sutton

Oteh (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kizzi (61'), Milsom (70' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Crawley Town and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Crawley 0-2 Hartlepool
Friday, December 9 at 7.45pm in League Two

Sutton United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Leyton Orient 2-0 Sutton
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 37.93%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Crawley TownDrawSutton United
37.93% (0.10599999999999 0.11)27.57% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)34.5% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 49.02% (0.259 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.3% (0.325 0.32)56.69% (-0.328 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.35% (0.26 0.26)77.65% (-0.262 -0.26)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.08% (0.22 0.22)28.91% (-0.222 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.21% (0.273 0.27)64.79% (-0.274 -0.27)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.95% (0.151 0.15)31.04% (-0.152 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.64% (0.178 0.18)67.36% (-0.178 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 37.93%
    Sutton United 34.5%
    Draw 27.56%
Crawley TownDrawSutton United
1-0 @ 11.13% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-1 @ 8.08% (0.032 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.91% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 3.34% (0.034 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.86% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.96% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.04% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 37.93%
1-1 @ 13.02% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.98% (-0.113 -0.11)
2-2 @ 4.73% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.56%
0-1 @ 10.5% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-2 @ 7.62% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.14% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.97% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.4%
2-3 @ 1.84% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 34.5%

Head to Head
Apr 26, 2022 7.45pm
Sutton
3-0
Crawley
Smith (4', 86'), Bennett (7')
Barden (35')

Davies (34'), Oteh (52'), Nadesan (90+2')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Crawley
0-1
Sutton

Dallison (19'), Francillette (83')
Olaofe (84')
John (75'), Milsom (75'), Bouzanis (76'), Boldewijn (90+1')
rhs 2.0


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