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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 50.89%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 24.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 50.89% ( | 24.83% ( | 24.27% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.61% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.37% ( | 50.63% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.46% ( | 72.53% ( |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.1% ( | 19.89% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.98% ( | 52.01% ( |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.43% ( | 35.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.66% ( | 72.33% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Crawley Town | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 1-0 @ 11.42% ( 2-1 @ 9.54% ( 2-0 @ 9.22% ( 3-1 @ 5.13% ( 3-0 @ 4.97% ( 3-2 @ 2.65% ( 4-1 @ 2.07% ( 4-0 @ 2.01% ( 4-2 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 2.81% Total : 50.89% | 1-1 @ 11.81% ( 0-0 @ 7.07% ( 2-2 @ 4.93% ( 3-3 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.83% | 0-1 @ 7.31% ( 1-2 @ 6.11% ( 0-2 @ 3.78% ( 1-3 @ 2.1% ( 2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0-3 @ 1.3% ( Other @ 1.97% Total : 24.27% |