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Hartlepool United
League Two | Gameweek 20
Dec 3, 2022 at 3pm UK
Victoria Park
Stockport County

Hartlepool
0 - 5
Stockport

FT(HT: 0-2)
Wootton (16', 20'), Madden (61'), Camps (67'), Collar (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Hartlepool United and Stockport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 43.71%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.

Result
Hartlepool UnitedDrawStockport County
30.21% (-0.038 -0.04)26.07% (-0.123 -0.12)43.71% (0.157 0.16)
Both teams to score 52.32% (0.37 0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.12% (0.485 0.48)51.88% (-0.49 -0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.37% (0.418 0.42)73.63% (-0.42099999999999 -0.42)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.49% (0.224 0.22)31.51% (-0.227 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.09% (0.258 0.26)67.9% (-0.262 -0.26)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.4% (0.289 0.29)23.6% (-0.294 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.32% (0.417 0.42)57.68% (-0.421 -0.42)
Score Analysis
    Hartlepool United 30.21%
    Stockport County 43.71%
    Draw 26.07%
Hartlepool UnitedDrawStockport County
1-0 @ 8.59% (-0.115 -0.12)
2-1 @ 7.16% (0.011 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.96% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.76% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.99% (0.032 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.91% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 30.21%
1-1 @ 12.4% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 7.44% (-0.146 -0.15)
2-2 @ 5.17% (0.052 0.05)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.07%
0-1 @ 10.73% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-2 @ 8.95% (0.035 0.04)
0-2 @ 7.75% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.31% (0.053 0.05)
0-3 @ 3.73% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.49% (0.046 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.56% (0.032 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.35% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 43.71%

How you voted: Hartlepool vs Stockport

Hartlepool United
40.0%
Draw
13.3%
Stockport County
46.7%
15
Head to Head
Jun 13, 2021 12pm
Mar 27, 2021 3pm
Dec 22, 2020 6pm
Hartlepool
4-0
Stockport
Oates (6'), Bennett (48' og.), Armstrong (50', 90+1')
Holohan (35')

Palmer (15'), Rooney (55')
Jan 25, 2020 3pm
Oct 9, 2019 7.45pm
Stockport
2-1
Hartlepool
Palmer (5'), Walker (21')
Turnbull (49'), Leesley (62')
Kabamba (86')
Mafuta (62'), Hawkes (68')