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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 46.31%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 26.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (8.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 46.31% | 26.87% | 26.82% |
| Both teams to score 47.89% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.39% | 56.61% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.42% | 77.59% |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.58% | 24.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.15% | 58.85% |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.36% | 36.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.57% | 73.43% |
| Score Analysis |
| Crawley Town | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 1-0 @ 12.61% 2-1 @ 8.93% 2-0 @ 8.89% 3-1 @ 4.2% 3-0 @ 4.18% 3-2 @ 2.11% 4-1 @ 1.48% 4-0 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.45% Total : 46.31% | 1-1 @ 12.66% 0-0 @ 8.95% 2-2 @ 4.48% Other @ 0.77% Total : 26.86% | 0-1 @ 8.99% 1-2 @ 6.36% 0-2 @ 4.51% 1-3 @ 2.13% 0-3 @ 1.51% 2-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 1.84% Total : 26.83% |