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Walsall
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 16
Feb 1, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The County Ground
Crawley Town

Swindon
1 - 1
Crawley

Gladwin (90+2')
Lyden (81'), McKirdy (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Powell (41' pen.)
Nichols (54'), Tsaroulla (65'), Powell (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Swindon Town 2-1 Crawley Town

Having lost ground in the promotion race, Swindon will be desperate to make a return to winning ways on Tuesday, and we just back their strong squad to get over the line on home turf. While the visitors posted an impressive away result at the weekend, their schedule does not get any easier and Yems's side could just fall short this time. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 45.34%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawCrawley Town
45.34%25.44%29.22%
Both teams to score 53.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.26%49.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.25%71.75%
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.08%21.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.81%55.19%
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.87%31.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.54%67.46%
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 45.33%
    Crawley Town 29.22%
    Draw 25.43%
Swindon TownDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 10.35%
2-1 @ 9.17%
2-0 @ 7.86%
3-1 @ 4.64%
3-0 @ 3.98%
3-2 @ 2.71%
4-1 @ 1.76%
4-0 @ 1.51%
4-2 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 45.33%
1-1 @ 12.08%
0-0 @ 6.82%
2-2 @ 5.35%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.43%
0-1 @ 7.96%
1-2 @ 7.05%
0-2 @ 4.65%
1-3 @ 2.74%
2-3 @ 2.08%
0-3 @ 1.81%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 29.22%

How you voted: Swindon vs Crawley

Swindon Town
86.4%
Draw
9.1%
Crawley Town
4.5%
22
Head to Head
Mar 21, 2020 3pm
Oct 26, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 16
Crawley
0-4
Swindon

Tunnicliffe (47'), Dallison (58'), Grego-Cox (69'), Allarakhia (81')
Doyle (5', 44', 61'), Yates (87')
Grant (66')
Jan 26, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 30
Swindon
0-1
Crawley
Morais (45')
Sesay (40'), Camara (42'), McNerney (80')
Aug 21, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Crawley
2-2
Swindon
Palmer (51', 90' pen.)
Doherty (27')
Payne (90')
Dunne (13'), Anderson (37')
Nelson (77'), Doughty (90')
Diagouraga (51'), Dunne (53')
Apr 2, 2018 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe199732416834
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham199282016429
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham207582728-126
14Bromley195952323024
15BarrowBarrow196581818023
16Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
17Fleetwood TownFleetwood175752322122
18Colchester UnitedColchester1941052322122
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington184682533-818
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714


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