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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 45.34%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Swindon Town | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 45.34% | 25.44% | 29.22% |
| Both teams to score 53.77% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.26% | 49.74% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.25% | 71.75% |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.08% | 21.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.81% | 55.19% |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.87% | 31.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.54% | 67.46% |
| Score Analysis |
| Swindon Town | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.35% 2-1 @ 9.17% 2-0 @ 7.86% 3-1 @ 4.64% 3-0 @ 3.98% 3-2 @ 2.71% 4-1 @ 1.76% 4-0 @ 1.51% 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.33% Total : 45.33% | 1-1 @ 12.08% 0-0 @ 6.82% 2-2 @ 5.35% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.43% | 0-1 @ 7.96% 1-2 @ 7.05% 0-2 @ 4.65% 1-3 @ 2.74% 2-3 @ 2.08% 0-3 @ 1.81% Other @ 2.92% Total : 29.22% |