League Two

League Two | Gameweek 26

Jan 11, 2022 at 7.30pm UK

Mansfield
3 - 2
Swindon

Maris (4'), McLaughlin (31' pen.), Bowery (43')
Hawkins (15'), O'Toole (63')

FT(HT: 3-1)

McKirdy (28'), Iandolo (89')
Odimayo (30'), Conroy (63'), Hunt (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Mansfield Town and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 33.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Mansfield Town	Draw	Swindon Town
40.4%	25.89%	33.7%

Both teams to score 54.2%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.95%

50.04%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.98%

72.02%

Mansfield Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.55%

24.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.11%

58.89%

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.74%

28.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.02%

63.97%

Score Analysis

Mansfield Town 40.4%

Swindon Town 33.7%

Draw 25.88%

Mansfield Town	Draw	Swindon Town
1-0 @ 9.73% 2-1 @ 8.66% 2-0 @ 6.85% 3-1 @ 4.07% 3-0 @ 3.22% 3-2 @ 2.57% 4-1 @ 1.43% 4-0 @ 1.13% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.83% Total : 40.4%	1-1 @ 12.29% 0-0 @ 6.91% 2-2 @ 5.47% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.88%	0-1 @ 8.73% 1-2 @ 7.77% 0-2 @ 5.52% 1-3 @ 3.27% 0-3 @ 2.32% 2-3 @ 2.31% 1-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.74% Total : 33.7%