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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 39.68%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 32.37% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | Stevenage |
| 39.68% | 27.95% | 32.37% |
| Both teams to score 47.48% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.57% | 58.44% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.97% | 79.03% |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.26% | 28.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.42% | 64.58% |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.63% | 33.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.01% | 70% |
| Score Analysis |
| Crawley Town | Draw | Stevenage |
| 1-0 @ 11.95% 2-1 @ 8.18% 2-0 @ 7.46% 3-1 @ 3.4% 3-0 @ 3.1% 3-2 @ 1.87% 4-1 @ 1.06% 4-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.69% Total : 39.67% | 1-1 @ 13.12% 0-0 @ 9.59% 2-2 @ 4.49% Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.95% | 0-1 @ 10.52% 1-2 @ 7.2% 0-2 @ 5.78% 1-3 @ 2.64% 0-3 @ 2.11% 2-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.48% Total : 32.37% |