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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 58.04%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 18.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Exeter City | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 58.04% | 23.73% | 18.23% |
| Both teams to score 46.63% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.99% | 53% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.4% | 74.6% |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.96% | 18.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.06% | 48.94% |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.89% | 43.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.62% | 79.38% |
| Score Analysis |
| Exeter City | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 1-0 @ 13.31% 2-0 @ 11.4% 2-1 @ 9.6% 3-0 @ 6.51% 3-1 @ 5.48% 4-0 @ 2.79% 4-1 @ 2.35% 3-2 @ 2.31% 4-2 @ 0.99% 5-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.36% Total : 58.03% | 1-1 @ 11.2% 0-0 @ 7.78% 2-2 @ 4.04% Other @ 0.71% Total : 23.72% | 0-1 @ 6.55% 1-2 @ 4.72% 0-2 @ 2.75% 1-3 @ 1.32% 2-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.76% Total : 18.23% |