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Championship header 2

League Two
Sutton United
League Two | Gameweek 21
Dec 10, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
Colchester United

Sutton
1 - 0
Colchester

Milsom (45+9' pen.)
Randall (69'), Kizzi (90+5')
Boldewijn (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Smith (18'), Ashley (45+1'), Tchamadeu (69'), Tovide (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Sutton United and Colchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sutton United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 1-1 Sutton
Saturday, December 3 at 1pm in League Two

Colchester United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 2-1 Colchester
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Sutton United 1-1 Colchester United

 With both sides focused very much on caution and limitation as a means to gain results, and with neither side being flushed for goals this season, it is hard to see past the likelihood of a draw this weekend. Randall's potential absence will be a big loss for Sutton in attack, whilst Colchester may find a draw away from home to be worth grinding out for at Gander Green Lane. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 50.22%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 22.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sutton United in this match.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawColchester United
50.22% (0.276 0.28) 27.1% (-0.101 -0.1) 22.68% (-0.172 -0.17)
Both teams to score 43.62% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.76% (0.199 0.2)60.24% (-0.196 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.58% (0.151 0.15)80.42% (-0.148 -0.15)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.82% (0.215 0.22)24.18% (-0.214 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.49% (0.305 0.31)58.51% (-0.303 -0.3)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.54% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)42.47% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.17% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)78.84% (0.051999999999992 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 50.2%
    Colchester United 22.68%
    Draw 27.1%
Sutton UnitedDrawColchester United
1-0 @ 14.57% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.34% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.86% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.9% (0.055 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.19% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.8% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.74% (0.03 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.49% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 50.2%
1-1 @ 12.48% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 10.27% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 3.8% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 27.1%
0-1 @ 8.8% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
1-2 @ 5.35% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.77% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.53% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.08%
0-3 @ 1.08% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 22.68%

Head to Head
Jan 18, 2022 7.45pm
Sutton
3-2
Colchester
Olaofe (9', 64'), Randall (90+2')
Smith (45+2'), Eastmond (57')
Edwards (3'), Sears (44' pen.)
Dallison (21'), Sears (59'), Huws (75'), Smith (77')
Jan 4, 2022 7.45pm
Third Round
Sutton
2-1
Colchester
Turner (7' og.), Wilson (52')
Kizzi (57')
Sears (45')
Dobra (34'), Coxe (57'), Sarpong-Wiredu (57')
Oct 26, 2021 7.45pm
Colchester
1-3
Sutton
Sears (2')
Hannant (5'), Smith (57'), Chilvers (82')
Tovide (27')
Ajiboye (12'), Milsom (28' pen.), Goodliffe (61')
Goodliffe (55')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall18114334191537
2Port Vale1910542619735
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster199642822633
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe188732216631
5Grimsby Town1910182728-131
6AFC Wimbledon1893630161430
7MK Dons1793530191130
8Chesterfield1977533231028
9Notts County187742518728
10Gillingham188281916326
11Bradford CityBradford186752319425
12Salford City186661719-224
13BarrowBarrow186571817123
14Bromley185852323023
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham196582528-323
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood175752322122
17Newport CountyNewport186482128-722
18Colchester UnitedColchester184952322121
19Harrogate TownHarrogate1963101628-1221
20Accrington StanleyAccrington184682533-818
21Tranmere RoversTranmere184681225-1318
22Swindon TownSwindon193792333-1016
23Morecambe1935111934-1514
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1835101530-1514
> League Two Full Table


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