League Two

League Two | Gameweek 21

Dec 10, 2022 at 3pm UK

The Borough Sports Ground

Sutton
1 - 0
Colchester

Milsom (45+9' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Sutton United and Colchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sutton United

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Carlisle 1-1 Sutton
Saturday, December 3 at 1pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Colchester United

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Mansfield 2-1 Colchester
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 50.22%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 22.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sutton United in this match.

Result
Sutton United	Draw	Colchester United
50.22% ( 0.28)	27.1% ( -0.1)	22.68% ( -0.17)

Both teams to score 43.62% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.76% (

0.2)

60.24% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.58% (

0.15)

80.42% (

-0.15)

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.82% (

0.22)

24.18% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.49% (

0.31)

58.51% (

-0.3)

Colchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.54% (

-0.06)

42.47% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.17% (

-0.05)

78.84% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Sutton United 50.2%

Colchester United 22.68%

Draw 27.1%

Sutton United	Draw	Colchester United
1-0 @ 14.57% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.34% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.19% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.32% Total : 50.2%	1-1 @ 12.48% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 10.27% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.55% Total : 27.1%	0-1 @ 8.8% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.08% 0-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.09% Total : 22.68%