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Championship header 2

League Two

Sutton United
League Two | Gameweek 19
Nov 19, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
Rochdale

Sutton
1 - 0
Rochdale

Randall (38')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Sutton United and Rochdale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sutton United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Sutton 0-2 Bradford
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League Two

Rochdale

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Rochdale 0-1 Mansfield
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 48.66%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 24.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Rochdale win it was 0-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sutton United in this match.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawRochdale
48.66% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)26.88% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)24.46% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 45.94% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.84% (0.009999999999998 0.01)58.16% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.19% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)78.82% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.01%23.99% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.76%58.24% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.43% (0.016999999999996 0.02)39.57% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.75% (0.015999999999998 0.02)76.25% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 48.66%
    Rochdale 24.46%
    Draw 26.87%
Sutton UnitedDrawRochdale
1-0 @ 13.55%
2-0 @ 9.67% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-1 @ 8.97%
3-0 @ 4.6% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.27% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 1.98% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.64% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 48.66%
1-1 @ 12.56%
0-0 @ 9.49% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 4.16% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 26.87%
0-1 @ 8.8%
1-2 @ 5.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.8% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 24.46%

How you voted: Sutton vs Rochdale

Sutton United
36.4%
Draw
27.3%
Rochdale
36.4%
11
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Sutton
3-0
Rochdale
Boldewijn (12', 45+2'), Kizzi (57')
Milsom (78')

O'Connell (22'), Dorsett (41')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Rochdale
3-2
Sutton
Newby (23'), Kelly (66'), Morley (90+5')
Olaofe (82'), Smith (90')
Bennett (45+2')