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Championship header 2

League Two

Stevenage
League Two | Gameweek 25
Jan 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Gillingham

Stevenage
1 - 0
Gillingham

Piergianni (23')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Stevenage and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stevenage

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Stevenage 3-1 Crawley
Friday, December 30 at 7.45pm in League Two

Gillingham

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Sutton 2-1 Gillingham
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 67.16%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 11.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.47%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stevenage in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Stevenage.

Result
StevenageDrawGillingham
67.16% (0.206 0.21)21.18% (-0.115 -0.11)11.66% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 39.08% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.19% (0.228 0.23)54.81% (-0.227 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.89% (0.188 0.19)76.11% (-0.188 -0.19)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.47% (0.145 0.14)15.53% (-0.143 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.54% (0.26799999999999 0.27)44.46% (-0.266 -0.27)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.27% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)53.73% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.89% (-0.013 -0.01)87.11% (0.01400000000001 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 67.16%
    Gillingham 11.66%
    Draw 21.18%
StevenageDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 15.54% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 14.47% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.99% (0.0040000000000013 0)
3-0 @ 8.98% (0.054 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.58% (0.03 0.03)
4-0 @ 4.18% (0.046 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.6% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.73% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.56% (0.025 0.03)
5-1 @ 0.97% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 67.16%
1-1 @ 9.65% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.35% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-2 @ 2.79%
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 21.18%
0-1 @ 5.18% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 3% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.61% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 11.66%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Gillingham

Stevenage
85.0%
Draw
5.0%
Gillingham
10.0%
20
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gillingham
1-1
Stevenage
Baggott (40')
Rose (28')
Rose (39')
Sep 2, 2014 7.45pm
First Round
Stevenage
0-1
Gillingham

Day (17'), Henry (19')
Norris (17' pen.)
Dack (93')
Hoyte (64')
Feb 4, 2014 7.45pm
Stevenage
3-1
Gillingham
Zoko (22' pen.), Charles (30', 59')
Jones (49'), Charles (87')
McDonald (56')
Gregory (70'), Smith (79')
Hewitt (21')
> Match Report
Nov 26, 2013 7.45pm
Gillingham
3-2
Stevenage
Kedwell (47' pen.), Daniels (52'), Mousinho (76')
Heslop (37'), Zoko (60')
Hartley (84')
Feb 1, 2011 3pm
Stevenage
2-2
Gillingham

Beardsley (18'), Foster (90')
Akinfenwa (50'), McDonald (45')
Gowling (27'), Maher (45'), Lawrence (89')
rhs 2.0


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