League Two Gameweek 25
Jan 2, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Lamex Stadium
  • Carl Piergianni 23' goal

Stevenage vs Gillingham - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Stevenage

All competitions
Last game
Dec 30, 2022 7.45pm
Stevenage 3 - 1 Crawley
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Jordan Roberts

Gillingham

All competitions
Last game
Dec 29, 2022 7.45pm
Sutton 2 - 1 Gillingham
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Tom Nichols

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 67.16%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 11.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.47%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stevenage in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Stevenage.

Result

Stevenage 67.16% (+0.21)
Draw 21.18% (-0.12)
Gillingham 11.66% (-0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

39.08% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.19% (+0.23)
Under 2.5 54.81% (-0.23)
Over 3.5 23.89% (+0.19)
Under 3.5 76.11% (-0.19)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5 84.47% (+0.15)
Under 0.5 15.53% (-0.15)
Over 1.5 55.54% (+0.27)
Under 1.5 44.46% (-0.27)

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5 46.27% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 53.73% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 12.89% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 87.11% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Stevenage 67.16%
Draw 21.18%
Gillingham 11.66%
Stevenage
1-0 @ 15.54% (-0.07)
2-0 @ 14.47% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.99% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 8.98% (+0.06)
3-1 @ 5.58% (+0.04)
4-0 @ 4.18% (+0.05)
4-1 @ 2.6% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.73% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.56% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 67.16%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.65% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 8.35% (-0.08)
2-2 @ 2.79%
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 21.18%
Gillingham
0-1 @ 5.18% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 3% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 1.61% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 11.66%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 15
Oct 15, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT MEMS Priestfield Stadium
  • Elkan Baggott 40' goal
  • goal Danny Rose 28'
Johnstone's Paint Trophy
Sep 2, 2014 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Chris Day 17' yellowcard
  • Ronnie Henry 19' yellowcard
  • goal Luke Norris 17'
  • redcard Gavin Hoyte 64'
  • yellowcard Bradley Dack 93'
League One
Feb 4, 2014 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Francois Zoko 22' goal
  • Darius Charles 30' goal
  • Luke Jones 49' yellowcard
  • Darius Charles 59' goal
  • Darius Charles 87' yellowcard
  • redcard Elliot Hewitt 21'
  • goal Cody McDonald 56'
  • yellowcard Steven Gregory 70'
  • yellowcard Connor Smith 79'
League One
Nov 26, 2013 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Danny Kedwell 47' goal
  • Donervon Daniels 52' goal
  • John Mousinho 76' goal
  • goal Simon Heslop 37'
  • goal Francois Zoko 60'
  • yellowcard Peter Hartley 84'
League Two
Feb 1, 2011 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Chris Beardsley 18' yellowcard
  • Luke Foster 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Josh Gowling 27'
  • goal Cody McDonald 45'
  • yellowcard Kevin Maher 45'
  • goal Adebayo Akinfenwa 50'
  • yellowcard Matt Lawrence 89'
League Two
Jan 1, 2011 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Adebayo Akinfenwa 38' goal
  • Danny Spiller 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Chris Beardsley 3'
  • yellowcard Luke Foster 45'