/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fstelog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fcrawlog.png)
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Jordan Roberts
10'
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Carl Piergianni
40'
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Carl Piergianni
83'
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Dom Telford
89'
Stevenage vs Crawley Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 69.08%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 11.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.46%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.
Result
Stevenage
69.08%
▲
(+0.13)
Draw
19.12%
▼
(-0.07)
Crawley Town
11.79%
▼
(-0.06)
Both Teams to Score:
45.31%
▲
(+0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5
53.54%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 2.5
46.46%
▼
(-0.15)
Over 3.5
31.26%
▲
(+0.14)
Under 3.5
68.73%
▼
(-0.14)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5
87.66%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 0.5
12.33%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 1.5
61.86%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 1.5
38.14%
▼
(-0.16)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5
51.68%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
48.31%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
16.54%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
83.46%
▲
(+0.02)
Score analysis
Stevenage
69.07%
Draw
19.12%
Crawley Town
11.79%
Stevenage
2-0
@
13.04%
1-0 @ 12.46% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.49% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 9.1% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 6.62% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 4.76% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 3.47% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.99% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3%
Total : 69.07%
1-0 @ 12.46% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.49% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 9.1% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 6.62% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 4.76% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 3.47% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.99% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3%
Total : 69.07%
Draw
1-1
@
9.07%
▼
(-0.04)
0-0 @ 5.96% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 3.45% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 19.12%
0-0 @ 5.96% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 3.45% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 19.12%
Crawley Town
0-1
@
4.33%
▼
(-0.03)
1-2 @ 3.3% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 11.79%
1-2 @ 3.3% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 11.79%
