Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 77.22%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 8.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.65%), while for a Charlton Athletic win it was 1-2 (2.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.