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Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Charlton Athletic

Oxford Utd
3 - 1
Charlton

Bodin (20'), Taylor (24'), O'Donkor (82')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Leaburn (67')
Chin (45'), Leaburn (66'), Payne (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League One clash between Oxford United and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Oxford United 1-2 Charlton Athletic

Both teams are struggling for form in the league, but the introduction of Holden may have a positive effect on the visitors after an opening draw, and we see them being boosted and ending their winless run on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 55.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 21.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Charlton Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawCharlton Athletic
55.63% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08) 22.83% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06) 21.55% (0.14 0.14)
Both teams to score 54.61% (0.386 0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.98% (0.416 0.42)45.02% (-0.416 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.63% (0.39700000000001 0.4)67.38% (-0.39700000000001 -0.4)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.97% (0.11800000000001 0.12)16.03% (-0.117 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.62% (0.214 0.21)45.38% (-0.214 -0.21)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.04% (0.369 0.37)34.96% (-0.369 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.3% (0.386 0.39)71.71% (-0.386 -0.39)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 55.63%
    Charlton Athletic 21.55%
    Draw 22.82%
Oxford UnitedDrawCharlton Athletic
1-0 @ 10.26% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-1 @ 9.87% (0.0029999999999983 0)
2-0 @ 9.39% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-1 @ 6.02% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.73% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.17% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.76% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.62% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.45% (0.026 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.01% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.96% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 55.63%
1-1 @ 10.78% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.61% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-2 @ 5.19% (0.053 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.82%
0-1 @ 5.89% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-2 @ 5.67% (0.036 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.1% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.99% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.82% (0.037 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.08% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 21.55%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Charlton

Oxford United
39.1%
Draw
21.7%
Charlton Athletic
39.1%
23
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Charlton
0-4
Oxford Utd

Leko (10'), Jaiyesimi (23'), Purrington (24'), Inniss (63'), Morgan (77'), Famewo (82')
Clare (62')
Taylor (21', 28'), Baldock (54'), Brannagan (83')
Moore (29'), Sykes (53'), Taylor (63'), Brown (72')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Oxford Utd
2-1
Charlton
Williams (23'), Brannagan (31')
Rodriguez (37'), Taylor (89')
Washington (36' pen.)
Stockley (67'), Famewo (87')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Oct 27, 2020 7pm
Charlton
2-0
Oxford Utd
Washington (32'), Shinnie (45+1')
Watson (47'), Inniss (61'), Gunter (73')
Inniss (66')

Rodriguez (25'), Taylor (62'), Moore (87'), Kelly (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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