Potential new FA Cup header

FA Cup

Woking
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 16, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Laithwaite Community Stadium
Oxford United

Woking
1 - 2
Oxford Utd

Ince (43')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bodin (39'), Goodrham (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's FA Cup clash between Woking and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Woking

All competitions
Last Game: Boreham Wood 0-1 Woking
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League

Oxford United

All competitions
Last Game: Oxford Utd 4-0 Port Vale
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 50.27%. A win for Woking had a probability of 26.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.15%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Woking win was 2-1 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Oxford United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Oxford United.

Result
WokingDrawOxford United
26.2% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)23.53%50.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 57.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)43.41%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.2% (0.00099999999999767 0)65.8% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Woking Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.91% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)30.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.77% (0.0040000000000049 0)66.23% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.64%17.37% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.24% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)47.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Woking 26.2%
    Oxford United 50.27%
    Draw 23.52%
WokingDrawOxford United
2-1 @ 6.6% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-0 @ 6.28% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 3.77% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 2.64% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.31% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.51%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 26.2%
1-1 @ 10.98%
2-2 @ 5.78%
0-0 @ 5.23%
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.52%
1-2 @ 9.62%
0-1 @ 9.15% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 8.01% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-3 @ 5.61%
0-3 @ 4.67% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 3.37%
1-4 @ 2.46%
0-4 @ 2.05%
2-4 @ 1.48%
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 50.27%

How you voted: Woking vs Oxford Utd

Woking
35.1%
Draw
6.4%
Oxford United
58.5%
94