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League One | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
Oxford United

Ipswich
3 - 0
Oxford Utd

Ladapo (39'), Burns (45'), Chaplin (81')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Ipswich Town and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 66.03%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 13.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.36%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawOxford United
66.03% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)20.33% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)13.65% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 46.9% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.72% (0.011000000000003 0.01)47.28% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.49% (0.011999999999997 0.01)69.51% (-0.012 -0.01)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.53% (0.0010000000000048 0)13.46% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.54% (0.0039999999999978 0)40.46% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.19% (0.016000000000005 0.02)45.8% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.43% (0.012 0.01)81.57% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 66.01%
    Oxford United 13.65%
    Draw 20.33%
Ipswich TownDrawOxford United
2-0 @ 12.39% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 12.36% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.68% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 8.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 6.47% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-0 @ 4.15% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 3.24%
3-2 @ 2.53% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-0 @ 1.67%
5-1 @ 1.3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.27% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 66.01%
1-1 @ 9.66%
0-0 @ 6.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 3.78% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 20.33%
0-1 @ 4.82%
1-2 @ 3.77% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 1.88% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
1-3 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 13.65%

How you voted: Ipswich vs Oxford Utd

Ipswich Town
91.3%
Draw
8.7%
Oxford United
0.0%
23
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Oxford Utd
1-1
Ipswich
McNally (90+5')
Williams (90+2'), Sykes (90+6')
Celina (70')
Burns (56'), Bonne (90+4')
Nov 13, 2021 3pm
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Ipswich
0-0
Oxford Utd

Kenlock (76')

Rodriguez (23'), Forde (48'), Winnall (90+4'), (90+5')
Dec 1, 2020 7pm
Feb 22, 2020 3pm