Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 66.03%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 13.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.36%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.