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Championship header 2

League One

Accrington Stanley
League One | Gameweek 20
Dec 3, 2022 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Oxford United

Accrington
1 - 1
Oxford Utd

Hamilton (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Henry (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Accrington Stanley and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Accrington 1-0 Barnet
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in FA Cup

Oxford United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 4-1 Exeter
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 47.13%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 28.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawOxford United
28.1% (0.198 0.2)24.77% (-0.202 -0.2)47.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 55.21% (0.809 0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.49% (0.991 0.99)47.51% (-0.989 -0.99)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.28% (0.91 0.91)69.72% (-0.91 -0.91)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.2% (0.66499999999999 0.66)30.8% (-0.665 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.92% (0.776 0.78)67.08% (-0.776 -0.78)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.79% (0.405 0.41)20.21% (-0.404 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.47% (0.642 0.64)52.53% (-0.641 -0.64)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 28.1%
    Oxford United 47.13%
    Draw 24.77%
Accrington StanleyDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 7.33% (-0.169 -0.17)
2-1 @ 6.9% (0.054 0.05)
2-0 @ 4.32% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.71% (0.07 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.17% (0.082 0.08)
3-0 @ 1.69% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 28.1%
1-1 @ 11.72% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 6.23% (-0.261 -0.26)
2-2 @ 5.52% (0.111 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.77%
0-1 @ 9.96% (-0.285 -0.29)
1-2 @ 9.37% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.96% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-3 @ 4.99% (0.072 0.07)
0-3 @ 4.24% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.94% (0.094 0.09)
1-4 @ 2% (0.053 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.7% (0.014 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.18% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 47.13%

How you voted: Accrington vs Oxford Utd

Accrington Stanley
17.9%
Draw
23.1%
Oxford United
59.0%
39
Head to Head
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Accrington
2-0
Oxford Utd
O'Sullivan (28'), Hamilton (90+1')
Leigh (47')

Williams (49'), Brannagan (75')
Sep 28, 2021 7.45pm
Oxford Utd
5-1
Accrington
Holland (18', 24'), Taylor (50'), Sykes (71'), Nottingham (90+4' og.)
Seddon (56'), Kane (79'), Moore (81'), Williams (90')
Hamilton (61')
Sykes (45+3'), McConville (81')
Apr 5, 2021 3pm
Oxford Utd
1-2
Accrington
Lee (25')
Lee (54'), Taylor (88')
Smyth (16'), Nottingham (70')
Butcher (58'), Rodgers (87')
Sep 26, 2020 3pm
Accrington
1-4
Oxford Utd
Cassidy (71' pen.)
Rodgers (44'), Hughes (55'), Pritchard (90')
Charles (75')
Henry (45'), Pritchard (73' og.), Taylor (85', 88')
Feb 25, 2020 7.45pm
Oxford Utd
3-0
Accrington
Henry (13'), Taylor (50', 72')

Finley (71'), Johnson (77')