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Championship header 2

League One

Charlton Athletic
League One | Gameweek 26
Jan 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Valley
Lincoln City

Charlton
2 - 1
Lincoln

Fraser (35'), Taylor (42')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Mandroiu (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Charlton Athletic and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Charlton Athletic

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 1-3 Charlton
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in League One

Lincoln City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Lincoln 1-1 Ipswich
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 47.66%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 27.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.

Result
Charlton AthleticDrawLincoln City
47.66% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)24.84% (0.010000000000002 0.01)27.49% (0.023 0.02)
Both teams to score 54.51% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.78% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)48.22% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.63% (-0.032 -0.03)70.37% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.72% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)20.27% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.37% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)52.63% (0.044999999999995 0.04)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.37%31.63% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.96% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)68.03% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Charlton Athletic 47.66%
    Lincoln City 27.49%
    Draw 24.83%
Charlton AthleticDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 10.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 8.16% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 5% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.34% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 2% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.73% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 47.66%
1-1 @ 11.77%
0-0 @ 6.41% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.41% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.83%
0-1 @ 7.38% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.78% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 4.25% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.6% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.63% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 27.49%

How you voted: Charlton vs Lincoln

Charlton Athletic
64.3%
Draw
14.3%
Lincoln City
21.4%
14
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Lincoln
0-0
Charlton

Virtue (73')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Charlton
1-2
Lincoln
Stockley (88')
Gilbey (25')
Gilbey (37')
Whittaker (33'), Scully (76')
Fiorini (57')
Whittaker (57')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Lincoln
2-1
Charlton
Stockley (58' og.), Poole (90+1')
Poole (12')
Lavelle (63')
Gilbey (13'), Arter (22'), Stockley (71'), Kirk (88')
May 4, 2021 7pm
Charlton
3-1
Lincoln
Stockley (47'), Inniss (65'), Aneke (66')
Purrington (17'), Aneke (83'), Pratley (90+2')
Anderson (88')
Bramall (20'), Jones (42')
Sep 27, 2020 3pm
Lincoln
2-0
Charlton
Grant (45+1'), Montsma (88')
McGrandles (37'), Eyoma (83'), Johnson (90+1')

Pratley (75'), Watson (81'), Barker (87'), Forster-Caskey (90+1')