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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 33.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-0 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lincoln City | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 33.73% ( | 27.37% ( | 38.9% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.52% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.99% ( | 56.02% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.9% ( | 77.1% ( |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.8% ( | 31.2% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.46% ( | 67.54% ( |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.97% ( | 28.03% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.32% ( | 63.68% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Lincoln City | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 10.18% ( 2-1 @ 7.55% ( 2-0 @ 5.93% ( 3-1 @ 2.93% ( 3-0 @ 2.3% ( 3-2 @ 1.86% ( Other @ 2.98% Total : 33.73% | 1-1 @ 12.95% ( 0-0 @ 8.75% ( 2-2 @ 4.8% ( Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.36% | 0-1 @ 11.12% ( 1-2 @ 8.24% ( 0-2 @ 7.07% ( 1-3 @ 3.49% ( 0-3 @ 3% ( 2-3 @ 2.04% ( 1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0-4 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 1.87% Total : 38.9% |