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League One | Gameweek 22
Dec 17, 2022 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Exeter City

Bolton
2 - 0
Exeter

Bradley (8'), Charles (26')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Sparkes (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Bolton 4-0 Man Utd U21s
Tuesday, December 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

Exeter City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Exeter 1-1 Sheff Weds
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-0 Exeter City

 We think that Bolton will narrowly come out on top and keep their push for promotion from League One on the right track. The hosts are in better form, and we think they will create plenty of opportunities here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 62.99%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 16.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Exeter City win it was 0-1 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bolton Wanderers.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawExeter City
62.99% (0.311 0.31) 20.87% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06) 16.14% (-0.251 -0.25)
Both teams to score 51.26% (-0.366 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.35% (-0.203 -0.2)44.65% (0.205 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.99% (-0.196 -0.2)67.01% (0.19800000000001 0.2)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.45% (0.028999999999996 0.03)13.55% (-0.028 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.37% (0.056000000000004 0.06)40.63% (-0.055 -0.05)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.29% (-0.442 -0.44)40.71% (0.443 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.7% (-0.399 -0.4)77.3% (0.40000000000001 0.4)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 62.98%
    Exeter City 16.14%
    Draw 20.87%
Bolton WanderersDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 11.02% (0.11 0.11)
2-0 @ 11.01% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.34% (0.087 0.09)
3-1 @ 6.6% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 3.67% (0.048 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.97% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.47% (0.02 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.32% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 62.98%
1-1 @ 9.91% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.51% (0.048 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.45% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 1%
Total : 20.87%
0-1 @ 4.96% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-2 @ 4.45% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-2 @ 2.23% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.33% (-0.035 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.33% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 16.14%

How you voted: Bolton vs Exeter

Bolton Wanderers
64.3%
Draw
21.4%
Exeter City
14.3%
14
Head to Head
May 1, 2021 3pm
Bolton
1-2
Exeter
Jones (15')
Baptiste (32'), Williams (37')
Williams (49'), Sweeney (90+6')
Key (27'), Hartridge (29'), Willmott (42'), Taylor (79'), Sparkes (84')
Jan 12, 2021 7pm
Exeter
1-1
Bolton
Santos (62' og.)
Atangana (67')
Gnahoua (73')
Sarcevic (53'), Brockbank (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011
> League One Full Table


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