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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 49.47%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 25.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-0 (7.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 25.04% ( | 25.48% ( | 49.47% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.42% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.41% ( | 52.58% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.76% ( | 74.24% ( |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.04% ( | 35.96% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.26% ( | 72.73% ( |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.72% ( | 21.27% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.8% ( | 54.19% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 7.82% ( 2-1 @ 6.19% ( 2-0 @ 4% ( 3-1 @ 2.11% ( 3-2 @ 1.63% 3-0 @ 1.36% ( Other @ 1.92% Total : 25.04% | 1-1 @ 12.1% 0-0 @ 7.65% ( 2-2 @ 4.79% Other @ 0.93% Total : 25.47% | 0-1 @ 11.83% 1-2 @ 9.37% ( 0-2 @ 9.16% ( 1-3 @ 4.84% ( 0-3 @ 4.73% ( 2-3 @ 2.47% ( 1-4 @ 1.87% ( 0-4 @ 1.83% ( 2-4 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.41% Total : 49.46% |