EFL Trophy
Dec 13, 2022 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT University of Bolton Stadium
  • Oladapo Afolayan 68' goal
  • Aaron Morley 76' goal
  • Amadou Bakayoko 90'+3' goal
  • Conor Bradley 90'+5' goal

Bolton Wanderers vs Manchester United Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

Manchester United Under-21s

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 69.75%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Manchester United Under-21s had a probability of 12.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 1-0 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for a Manchester United Under-21s win it was 1-2 (3.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result

Bolton Wanderers 69.75% (-0.27)
Draw 17.35% (+0.09)
Manchester United Under-21s 12.89% (+0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.12% (+0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5 64.62% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 35.38% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 42.59% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 57.41% (-0.03)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 90.88% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 9.11% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 69.06% (-0.14)
Under 1.5 30.94% (+0.14)

Manchester United Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 60.65% (+0.28)
Under 0.5 39.35% (-0.28)
Over 1.5 23.94% (+0.26)
Under 1.5 76.05% (-0.26)

Score analysis

Bolton Wanderers 69.75%
Draw 17.35%
Manchester United Under-21s 12.89%
Bolton Wanderers
2-0 @ 10.28% (-0.08)
2-1 @ 9.6% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 8.59% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 8.22% (-0.08)
3-1 @ 7.66% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 4.92% (-0.06)
4-1 @ 4.59% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.57% (+0.03)
5-0 @ 2.36% (-0.04)
5-1 @ 2.2% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 2.14% (+0.01)
5-2 @ 1.03% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.6%
Total : 69.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.01% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.48% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 3.59% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.11% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 17.35%
Manchester United Under-21s
1-2 @ 3.74% (+0.05)
0-1 @ 3.34% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 1.56% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.39% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.16% (+0.03)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 12.89%