EFL Trophy | Third Round

Dec 13, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

University of Bolton Stadium

Bolton
4 - 0
Man Utd U21s

Afolayan (68'), Morley (76'), Bakayoko (90+3'), Bradley (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Bolton Wanderers and Manchester United Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Shrewsbury 3-2 Bolton
Saturday, December 10 at 12.30pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Manchester United Under-21s

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Man Utd U21s 0-0 Wolves U21s (1-4 pen.)
Tuesday, November 22 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 69.75%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Manchester United Under-21s had a probability of 12.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 1-0 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for a Manchester United Under-21s win it was 1-2 (3.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Manchester United Under-21s
69.75% ( -0.26)	17.35% ( 0.09)	12.89% ( 0.17)

Both teams to score 55.12% (

0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.62% (

0.02)

35.38% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.59% (

0.02)

57.41% (

-0.02)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.88% (

-0.06)

9.11% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.06% (

-0.13)

30.94% (

0.13)

Manchester United Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.65% (

0.28)

39.35% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.94% (

0.26)

76.05% (

-0.26)

Score Analysis

Bolton Wanderers 69.75%

Manchester United Under-21s 12.89%

Draw 17.35%

Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Manchester United Under-21s
2-0 @ 10.28% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 8.22% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 7.66% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4.92% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.03% ( 0) 6-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.66% Total : 69.75%	1-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 3.59% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 17.35%	1-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.7% Total : 12.89%