Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Under-21s win with a probability of 49.64%. A win for Chelsea Under-21s had a probability of 29.05% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.11%) and 0-2 (5.82%). The likeliest Chelsea Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.