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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 58.57%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 18.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Bolton Wanderers win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Exeter City | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
58.57% | 22.86% | 18.57% |
Both teams to score 49.77% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.88% | 49.12% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.81% | 71.19% |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.55% | 16.46% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.85% | 46.15% |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.57% | 40.43% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.95% | 77.05% |
Score Analysis |
Exeter City | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
1-0 @ 12% 2-0 @ 10.83% 2-1 @ 9.81% 3-0 @ 6.52% 3-1 @ 5.9% 4-0 @ 2.94% 3-2 @ 2.67% 4-1 @ 2.66% 4-2 @ 1.21% 5-0 @ 1.06% 5-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.01% Total : 58.57% | 1-1 @ 10.87% 0-0 @ 6.65% 2-2 @ 4.44% Other @ 0.89% Total : 22.86% | 0-1 @ 6.03% 1-2 @ 4.92% 0-2 @ 2.73% 1-3 @ 1.49% 2-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.06% Total : 18.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
2 | Port Vale | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 36 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 34 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 33 |
6 | Chesterfield | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 31 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 31 |
8 | MK Dons | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
9 | Gillingham | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 28 |
11 | Notts County | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
12 | Salford City | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 27 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 26 |
14 | Bromley | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 23 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 18 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |