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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 58.57%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 18.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Bolton Wanderers win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Exeter City | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 58.57% | 22.86% | 18.57% |
| Both teams to score 49.77% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.88% | 49.12% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.81% | 71.19% |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.55% | 16.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.85% | 46.15% |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.57% | 40.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.95% | 77.05% |
| Score Analysis |
| Exeter City | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 12% 2-0 @ 10.83% 2-1 @ 9.81% 3-0 @ 6.52% 3-1 @ 5.9% 4-0 @ 2.94% 3-2 @ 2.67% 4-1 @ 2.66% 4-2 @ 1.21% 5-0 @ 1.06% 5-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.01% Total : 58.57% | 1-1 @ 10.87% 0-0 @ 6.65% 2-2 @ 4.44% Other @ 0.89% Total : 22.86% | 0-1 @ 6.03% 1-2 @ 4.92% 0-2 @ 2.73% 1-3 @ 1.49% 2-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.06% Total : 18.57% |