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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 57.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 19.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Tranmere Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Exeter City | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 57.46% | 23.44% | 19.09% |
| Both teams to score 48.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.27% | 50.73% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.37% | 72.63% |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.58% | 17.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.13% | 47.86% |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.22% | 40.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.64% | 77.35% |
| Score Analysis |
| Exeter City | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 12.41% 2-0 @ 10.84% 2-1 @ 9.73% 3-0 @ 6.32% 3-1 @ 5.67% 4-0 @ 2.76% 3-2 @ 2.54% 4-1 @ 2.48% 4-2 @ 1.11% 5-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.63% Total : 57.45% | 1-1 @ 11.13% 0-0 @ 7.1% 2-2 @ 4.36% Other @ 0.84% Total : 23.44% | 0-1 @ 6.37% 1-2 @ 5% 0-2 @ 2.86% 1-3 @ 1.49% 2-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.07% Total : 19.09% |