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Exeter City
League Two | Gameweek 17
Dec 12, 2020 at 3pm UK
St. James' Park
Tranmere Rovers

Exeter
5 - 0
Tranmere

Bowman (8', 27', 77'), Jay (18' pen.), Taylor (73')
Parkes (49')
FT(HT: 3-0)

MacDonald (41'), Clarke (62'), Davies (74')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Exeter City and Tranmere Rovers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 57.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 19.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Tranmere Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawTranmere Rovers
57.46%23.44%19.09%
Both teams to score 48.9%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.27%50.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.37%72.63%
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.58%17.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.13%47.86%
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.22%40.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.64%77.35%
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 57.45%
    Tranmere Rovers 19.09%
    Draw 23.44%
Exeter CityDrawTranmere Rovers
1-0 @ 12.41%
2-0 @ 10.84%
2-1 @ 9.73%
3-0 @ 6.32%
3-1 @ 5.67%
4-0 @ 2.76%
3-2 @ 2.54%
4-1 @ 2.48%
4-2 @ 1.11%
5-0 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 57.45%
1-1 @ 11.13%
0-0 @ 7.1%
2-2 @ 4.36%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 23.44%
0-1 @ 6.37%
1-2 @ 5%
0-2 @ 2.86%
1-3 @ 1.49%
2-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 19.09%