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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 41.51%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 41.51% | 25.54% | 32.94% |
| Both teams to score 55.15% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.28% | 48.71% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.17% | 70.82% |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.7% | 23.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.76% | 57.24% |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.91% | 28.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.24% | 63.75% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.53% 2-1 @ 8.82% 2-0 @ 6.94% 3-1 @ 4.28% 3-0 @ 3.37% 3-2 @ 2.72% 4-1 @ 1.56% 4-0 @ 1.23% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.07% Total : 41.51% | 1-1 @ 12.1% 0-0 @ 6.54% 2-2 @ 5.6% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.54% | 0-1 @ 8.31% 1-2 @ 7.69% 0-2 @ 5.28% 1-3 @ 3.25% 2-3 @ 2.37% 0-3 @ 2.23% 1-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.78% Total : 32.94% |