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Crawley Town
League Two | Gameweek 20
Dec 26, 2020 at 3pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Newport County

Crawley
1 - 1
Newport

Demetriou (32' og.)
Hessenthaler (16'), Hesketh (68')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Haynes (5')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Crawley Town and Newport County.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
Crawley TownDrawNewport County
33.94%27.12%38.94%
Both teams to score 50.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.97%55.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.71%76.29%
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.43%30.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.2%66.8%
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.47%27.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.96%63.05%
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 33.94%
    Newport County 38.94%
    Draw 27.11%
Crawley TownDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 9.98%
2-1 @ 7.62%
2-0 @ 5.91%
3-1 @ 3.01%
3-0 @ 2.34%
3-2 @ 1.94%
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 33.94%
1-1 @ 12.86%
0-0 @ 8.42%
2-2 @ 4.92%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 27.11%
0-1 @ 10.85%
1-2 @ 8.3%
0-2 @ 7%
1-3 @ 3.57%
0-3 @ 3.01%
2-3 @ 2.11%
1-4 @ 1.15%
0-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 38.94%