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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 36.37%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 36.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.92%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Barrow win was 0-1 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crawley Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | Barrow |
| 36.37% | 27.41% | 36.22% |
| Both teams to score 49.63% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.02% | 55.98% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.92% | 77.07% |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.49% | 29.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.48% | 65.52% |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.4% | 29.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.36% | 65.64% |
| Score Analysis |
| Crawley Town | Draw | Barrow |
| 1-0 @ 10.66% 2-1 @ 7.92% 2-0 @ 6.51% 3-1 @ 3.22% 3-0 @ 2.65% 3-2 @ 1.96% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.47% Total : 36.37% | 1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 8.73% 2-2 @ 4.82% Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.4% | 0-1 @ 10.63% 1-2 @ 7.9% 0-2 @ 6.47% 1-3 @ 3.21% 0-3 @ 2.63% 2-3 @ 1.96% 1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.45% Total : 36.22% |