League One Gameweek 21
Dec 10, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jake Caprice 56' goal
  • goal Callum Paterson 90'+4'

Exeter City vs Sheffield Wednesday - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions
Last game
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
Morecambe 1 - 1 Exeter
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Sam Nombe

Sheffield Wednesday

All competitions
Last game
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
Derby 0 - 0 Sheff Weds
Goals scored
81
Top scorer
Michael Smith

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 54.62%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.78%) and 0-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Exeter City win it was 1-0 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result

Exeter City 21.8% (-0.10)
Draw 23.58% (+0.04)
Sheffield Wednesday 54.62% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.53% (-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.04% (-0.27)
Under 2.5 47.96% (+0.27)
Over 3.5 29.87% (-0.25)
Under 3.5 70.13% (+0.25)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5 63.63% (-0.24)
Under 0.5 36.37% (+0.24)
Over 1.5 26.84% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 73.15% (+0.24)

Sheffield Wednesday Goals

Over 0.5 82.56% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 17.44% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 52.1% (-0.14)
Under 1.5 47.9% (+0.14)

Score analysis

Exeter City 21.8%
Draw 23.58%
Sheffield Wednesday 54.61%
Exeter City
1-0 @ 6.42% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 5.67% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 3.25% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 1.91% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.67% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.09% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 21.8%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.2% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.34% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 4.95% (-0.04)
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 23.58%
Sheffield Wednesday
0-1 @ 11.07% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 9.78% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 9.67% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 5.7% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 5.63% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.88% (-0.03)
1-4 @ 2.49% (-0.02)
0-4 @ 2.46% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.26% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 54.61%

Head to Head

FA Cup
Jan 9, 2021 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Adam Reach 27'
  • goal Callum Paterson 90'
League One
Feb 11, 2012 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Billy Jones 68' goal
  • Daniel Nardiello 74' yellowcard
  • David Noble 84' goal
  • goal Jermaine Johnson 65'
  • yellowcard Jermaine Johnson 84'
League One
Sep 24, 2011 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Danny Batth 30' yellowcard
  • James O'Connor 40' goal
  • Gary Madine 43' goal
  • Reda Johnson 67' yellowcard
  • Gary Madine 75' goal
  • yellowcard David Noble 45'
  • yellowcard Daniel Nardiello 56'
League One
May 7, 2011 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jermaine Johnson 13' goal
  • Neil Mellor 71' yellowcard
  • James O'Connor 77' yellowcard
  • goal Daniel Nardiello 76'
  • yellowcard Daniel Nardiello 77'
  • goal Troy Archibald-Henville 89'
League One
Dec 18, 2010 3.00pm
5
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Jamie Cureton 29' goal
  • Liam Sercombe 58' goal
  • Scott Golbourne 61' goal
  • Jamie Cureton 72' goal
  • John O'Flynn 88' goal
  • goal Tommy Miller 31'