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Championship header 2

League One

Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 21
Dec 10, 2022 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Sheffield Wednesday logo

Exeter
1 - 1
Sheff Weds

Caprice (56')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Paterson (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Sheffield Wednesday, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Morecambe 1-1 Exeter
Friday, December 2 at 7.45pm in League One

Sheffield Wednesday

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Derby 0-0 Sheff Weds
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 54.62%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.78%) and 0-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Exeter City win it was 1-0 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
Exeter CityDrawSheffield Wednesday
21.8% (-0.093 -0.09)23.58% (0.038 0.04)54.62% (0.052 0.05)
Both teams to score 52.53% (-0.245 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.04% (-0.264 -0.26)47.96% (0.264 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.87% (-0.243 -0.24)70.13% (0.24299999999999 0.24)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.63% (-0.238 -0.24)36.37% (0.236 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.84% (-0.241 -0.24)73.15% (0.23999999999999 0.24)
Sheffield Wednesday Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.56% (-0.077999999999989 -0.08)17.44% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.1% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)47.9% (0.134 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 21.8%
    Sheffield Wednesday 54.61%
    Draw 23.58%
Exeter CityDrawSheffield Wednesday
1-0 @ 6.42% (0.029000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 5.67% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 3.25% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.91% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.67% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.09% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 21.8%
1-1 @ 11.2% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.34% (0.069 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.95% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.58%
0-1 @ 11.07% (0.09 0.09)
1-2 @ 9.78% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9.67% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
1-3 @ 5.7% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-3 @ 5.63% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.88% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.49% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.46% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-4 @ 1.26% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 54.61%

How you voted: Exeter vs Sheff Weds

Exeter City
42.1%
Draw
10.5%
Sheffield Wednesday
47.4%
19
Head to Head
Jan 9, 2021 3pm
Third Round
Exeter
0-2
Sheff Weds
Reach (27'), Paterson (90')
Feb 11, 2012 3pm
Exeter
2-1
Sheff Weds
Jones (68'), Noble (84')
Nardiello (74')
Johnson (65')
Johnson (84')
Sep 24, 2011 3pm
Sheff Weds
3-0
Exeter
O'Connor (40'), Madine (43', 75' pen.)
Batth (30'), Johnson (67')

Noble (45'), Nardiello (56')
May 7, 2011 3pm
Sheff Weds
1-2
Exeter
Johnson (13')
Mellor (71'), O'Connor (77')
Archibald-Henville (89'), Nardiello (76')
Nardiello (77')
Dec 18, 2010 3pm
Exeter
5-1
Sheff Weds
Golbourne (61'), Sercombe (58'), Cureton (29', 72'), O'Flynn (88')
Miller (31')