League One Gameweek 20
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Mazuma Stadium
  • Cole Stockton 34' goal
  • goal Josh Key 36'

Morecambe vs Exeter City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions
Last game
Nov 19, 2022 3.00pm
Lincoln 2 - 1 Morecambe
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Cole Stockton

Exeter City

All competitions
Last game
Nov 19, 2022 12.00pm
Exeter 0 - 2 Ipswich
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Sam Nombe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 45.34%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 28.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result

Morecambe 28.54% (+0.04)
Draw 26.12% (+0.02)
Exeter City 45.34% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.22% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.14% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 52.86% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 25.53% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 74.47% (+0.05)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5 66.74% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 33.26% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 30.13% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 69.87% (+0.01)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5 76.75% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 23.25% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 42.83% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 57.16% (+0.08)

Score analysis

Morecambe 28.54%
Draw 26.11%
Exeter City 45.34%
Morecambe
1-0 @ 8.51% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 6.84% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.69% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.51% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.72% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 28.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.41%
0-0 @ 7.73% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.99% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.11%
Exeter City
0-1 @ 11.28% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 9.06% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.23% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.41% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 4% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.43% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.61% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.46% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 45.34%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 26
Jan 26, 2021 6.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT St. James' Park
  • Jonathan Maxted 8' yellowcard
  • goal Adam Phillips 9'
  • yellowcard Adam Phillips 56'
  • goal Cole Stockton 66'
  • yellowcard Toumani Diagouraga 85'
  • yellowcard Ryan Cooney 90'+2'
League Two Gameweek 11
Nov 3, 2020 6.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Globe Arena
  • Carlos Mendes Gomes 41' goal
  • Stephen Hendrie 45'+1' goal
  • goal Joel Randall 33'
  • yellowcard Joel Randall 65'
  • goal Jake Taylor 72'
League Two Gameweek 43
Apr 10, 2020 3.00pm
St. James' Park
League Two Gameweek 5
Aug 24, 2019 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Lewis Alessandra 45' goal
  • Lewis Alessandra 63' goal
  • Sam Lavelle 80' yellowcard
  • Sam Lavelle 91' redcard
  • goal Jake Taylor 21'
  • goal Lee Martin 25'
  • goal Nicky Law 85'
League Two Gameweek 28
Jan 12, 2019 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT St. James' Park (Exeter, Devon)
  • Dean Moxey 53' yellowcard
  • Nicky Law 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kevin Ellison 90'
League Two Gameweek 2
Aug 11, 2018 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Globe Arena (Morecambe, Lancashire)
  • goal Pierce Sweeney 43'
  • goal Jayden Stockley 66'