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Championship header 2

League One

Morecambe
League One | Gameweek 20
Dec 2, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Exeter City

Morecambe
1 - 1
Exeter

Stockton (34')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Key (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Morecambe and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Lincoln 1-1 Morecambe (4-3 pen.)
Tuesday, November 22 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Exeter City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 4-1 Exeter
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 45.34%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 28.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
MorecambeDrawExeter City
28.54% (0.038999999999998 0.04)26.12% (0.016999999999999 0.02)45.34% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)
Both teams to score 51.22% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.14% (-0.052 -0.05)52.86% (0.055 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.53% (-0.044 -0.04)74.47% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.74% (0.00099999999999056 0)33.26% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.13% (0.0010000000000012 0)69.87% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.75% (-0.047000000000011 -0.05)23.25% (0.050999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.83% (-0.07 -0.07)57.16% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 28.54%
    Exeter City 45.34%
    Draw 26.11%
MorecambeDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 8.51% (0.019 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.84% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 4.69% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.51% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 28.54%
1-1 @ 12.41%
0-0 @ 7.73% (0.017 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.99% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.11%
0-1 @ 11.28% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.06% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.23% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.41% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.43% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.61% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.46% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 45.34%

How you voted: Morecambe vs Exeter

Morecambe
15.4%
Draw
7.7%
Exeter City
76.9%
13
Head to Head
Jan 26, 2021 6pm
Exeter
0-2
Morecambe

Maxted (8')
Phillips (9' pen.), Stockton (66')
Phillips (56'), Diagouraga (85'), Cooney (90+2')
Nov 3, 2020 6.30pm
Morecambe
2-2
Exeter
Mendes Gomes (41'), Hendrie (45+1')
Randall (33'), Taylor (72')
Randall (65')
Apr 10, 2020 3pm
Exeter
P-P
Morecambe
Aug 24, 2019 3pm
Morecambe
2-3
Exeter
Alessandra (45', 63')
Lavelle (80')
Lavelle (91')
Taylor (21'), Martin (25'), Law (85')
Jan 12, 2019 3pm
Exeter
0-0
Morecambe

Moxey (53'), Law (68')

Ellison (90')