League One

League One | Gameweek 20

Dec 3, 2022 at 12.30pm UK

Pride Park Stadium

Derby
0 - 0
Sheff Weds

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Derby County and Sheffield Wednesday, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Newport 1-2 Derby
Sunday, November 27 at 3.15pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sheffield Wednesday

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Sheff Weds 2-1 Mansfield
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 40.49%. A win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Sheffield Wednesday win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Sheffield Wednesday
40.49% ( 0.67)	25.25% ( -0.15)	34.27% ( -0.52)

Both teams to score 56.52% (

0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.89% (

0.58)

47.11% (

-0.58)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.65% (

0.53)

69.35% (

-0.53)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.89% (

0.6)

23.11% (

-0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.04% (

0.86)

56.96% (

-0.86)

Sheffield Wednesday Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.5% (

-0.04)

26.5% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.31% (

-0.05)

61.69% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Derby County 40.49%

Sheffield Wednesday 34.27%

Draw 25.25%

Derby County	Draw	Sheffield Wednesday
1-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.26% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.14% Total : 40.49%	1-1 @ 11.91% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.25%	0-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 7.91% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.2% Total : 34.27%