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League One
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League One | Gameweek 20
Dec 3, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
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Derby
0 - 0
Sheff Weds


Dobbin (52'), Bird (64')
FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Derby County and Sheffield Wednesday, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Newport 1-2 Derby
Sunday, November 27 at 3.15pm in FA Cup

Sheffield Wednesday

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Sheff Weds 2-1 Mansfield
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in FA Cup

We said: Derby County 1-2 Sheffield Wednesday

 Derby County look to be improving under Paul Warne and they do possess quality, but we see the visitors being slightly too strong and extending their dominant run of form with a narrow away win at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 40.49%. A win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Sheffield Wednesday win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawSheffield Wednesday
40.49% (0.674 0.67) 25.25% (-0.15 -0.15) 34.27% (-0.523 -0.52)
Both teams to score 56.52% (0.409 0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.89% (0.57700000000001 0.58)47.11% (-0.575 -0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.65% (0.534 0.53)69.35% (-0.533 -0.53)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.89% (0.596 0.6)23.11% (-0.596 -0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.04% (0.863 0.86)56.96% (-0.862 -0.86)
Sheffield Wednesday Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.5% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)26.5% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.31% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)61.69% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 40.49%
    Sheffield Wednesday 34.27%
    Draw 25.25%
Derby CountyDrawSheffield Wednesday
1-0 @ 8.97% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.73% (0.086 0.09)
2-0 @ 6.57% (0.073 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.26% (0.115 0.11)
3-0 @ 3.21% (0.09 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.83% (0.074 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.069 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.18% (0.053 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 40.49%
1-1 @ 11.91% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 6.12% (-0.149 -0.15)
2-2 @ 5.8% (0.051 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.25%
0-1 @ 8.13% (-0.206 -0.21)
1-2 @ 7.91% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
0-2 @ 5.4% (-0.144 -0.14)
1-3 @ 3.5% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.57% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.39% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.16% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 34.27%

How you voted: Derby vs Sheff Weds

Derby County
51.9%
Draw
11.1%
Sheffield Wednesday
37.0%
27
Head to Head
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
Derby
3-3
Sheff Weds
Waghorn (49', 78' pen.), Roberts (52')
Kazim-Richards (60'), Jozwiak (76'), Ebosele (86')
Hutchinson (45+3'), Paterson (62'), Borner (69')
Bannan (45+1'), Dunkley (77'), Harris (90+5')
Jan 1, 2021 5.30pm
Sheff Weds
1-0
Derby
Paterson (61')

Kazim-Richards (90+2'), Jozwiak (90+3')
Feb 29, 2020 3pm
Sheff Weds
1-3
Derby
> Match Report
Dec 11, 2019 7.45pm
Derby
1-1
Sheff Weds
Martin (82' pen.)
Evans (25'), Knight (50'), Lawrence (83')
Fletcher (23')
Reach (11'), Odubajo (66'), Hutchinson (83'), Nuhiu (95')
Odubajo (90')
> Match Report
Mar 9, 2019 3pm
Derby
1-1
Sheff Weds
Johnson (10')
Bogle (43'), Holmes (45')
Iorfa (57')
Reach (27'), Palmer (91'), Winnall (94')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe18124239211840
2Wrexham19124328111740
3Birmingham CityBirmingham17123232161639
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield18112528161235
5Stockport CountyStockport1996431191233
6Reading189453025531
7Bolton WanderersBolton179352827130
8Barnsley197662725227
9Lincoln CityLincoln197662423127
10Mansfield TownMansfield177372222024
11Exeter CityExeter187381619-324
12Charlton AthleticCharlton186571819-123
13Blackpool186572631-523
14Stevenage176471316-322
15Peterborough UnitedPeterborough186393332121
16Leyton Orient186391920-121
17Northampton TownNorthampton195682126-521
18Bristol Rovers186391726-921
19Wigan AthleticWigan185581516-120
20Rotherham UnitedRotherham175571620-420
21Crawley TownCrawley185491728-1119
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1844101829-1116
23Burton Albion1825111630-1411
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1832131835-1711
> League One Full Table


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