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Championship | Gameweek 23
Jan 1, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Hillsborough Stadium
Derby logo

Sheff Weds
1 - 0
Derby

Paterson (61')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Kazim-Richards (90+2'), Jozwiak (90+3')

The Match

Match Report

Callum Paterson's fourth goal of the season was enough to earn the Owls the points.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Sheffield Wednesday and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 42.06%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 28.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.56%) and 1-2 (7.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.27%), while for a Sheffield Wednesday win it was 1-0 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
Sheffield WednesdayDrawDerby County
28.42%29.51%42.06%
Both teams to score 41.87%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.31%64.69%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.32%83.67%
Sheffield Wednesday Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.21%39.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.54%76.46%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.53%30.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.32%66.67%
Score Analysis
    Sheffield Wednesday 28.42%
    Derby County 42.05%
    Draw 29.5%
Sheffield WednesdayDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 11.17%
2-1 @ 6.12%
2-0 @ 5.15%
3-1 @ 1.88%
3-0 @ 1.58%
3-2 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 28.42%
1-1 @ 13.27%
0-0 @ 12.12%
2-2 @ 3.64%
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 29.5%
0-1 @ 14.4%
0-2 @ 8.56%
1-2 @ 7.89%
0-3 @ 3.39%
1-3 @ 3.13%
2-3 @ 1.44%
0-4 @ 1.01%
1-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 42.05%

How you voted: Sheff Weds vs Derby

Sheffield Wednesday
36.4%
Draw
20.2%
Derby County
43.4%
99