Championship Gameweek 16
Millwall
Dec 5, 2020 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Den
Derby
  • yellowcard Graeme Shinnie 34'
  • yellowcard Krystian Bielik 58'
  • goal Jason Knight 69'
  • yellowcard Martyn Waghorn 85'
  • yellowcard Colin Kazim-Richards 86'
  • yellowcard Nathan Byrne 87'

Millwall vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions
Last game
Dec 2, 2020 7.45pm
Blackburn 2 - 1 Millwall
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Jed Wallace

Derby County

All competitions
Last game
Dec 1, 2020 7.45pm
Derby 1 - 1 Coventry
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Colin Kazim-Richards

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result

Millwall 40.59%
Draw 28.44%
Derby County 30.97%

Both Teams to Score: 

45.69%

Goals

Over 2.5 39.53%
Under 2.5 60.47%
Over 3.5 19.4%
Under 3.5 80.6%

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5 70.79%
Under 0.5 29.21%
Over 1.5 34.84%
Under 1.5 65.16%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5 64.54%
Under 0.5 35.46%
Over 1.5 27.78%
Under 1.5 72.23%

Score analysis

Millwall 40.58%
Draw 28.42%
Derby County 30.96%
Millwall
1-0 @ 12.74%
2-1 @ 8.13%
2-0 @ 7.84%
3-1 @ 3.34%
3-0 @ 3.22%
3-2 @ 1.73%
4-1 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 40.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.21%
0-0 @ 10.35%
2-2 @ 4.22%
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 28.42%
Derby County
0-1 @ 10.73%
1-2 @ 6.85%
0-2 @ 5.57%
1-3 @ 2.37%
0-3 @ 1.92%
2-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 30.96%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 38
Millwall
Jun 20, 2020 1.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT The Den
Derby
  • Matt Smith 15' goal
  • Connor Mahoney 90'+3' goal
  • goal Louie Sibley 26'
  • yellowcard Martyn Waghorn 38'
  • goal Louie Sibley 71'
  • yellowcard Louie Sibley 89'
  • goal Louie Sibley 90'
Championship Gameweek 22
Derby
Dec 14, 2019 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Millwall
  • Chris Martin 57' yellowcard
  • goal Tom Bradshaw 25'
  • yellowcard Mahlon Romeo 92'
  • yellowcard Jake Cooper 92'
Championship Gameweek 29
Derby
Feb 20, 2019 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Pride Park Stadium (Derby)
Millwall
  • Tom Huddlestone 42' yellowcard
  • Richard Keogh 63' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ben Marshall 43'
  • goal Jed Wallace 72'
  • yellowcard Shaun Williams 87'
  • yellowcard Tom Elliott 96'
Championship Gameweek 3
Millwall
Aug 18, 2018 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT The Den (London)
Derby
  • Jake Cooper 7' goal
  • Shaun Williams 20' goal
  • Jake Cooper 61' yellowcard
  • yellowcard David Nugent 72'
  • goal David Nugent 73'
Championship
Millwall
Jan 30, 2018 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Derby
  • Tom Elliott 71' yellowcard
  • Conor McLaughlin 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andre Wisdom 85'
Championship
Derby
Dec 23, 2017 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT
Millwall
  • David Nugent 23' goal
  • Matej Vydra 25' goal
  • David Nugent 28' goal
  • yellowcard Jake Cooper 54'

Form Data

Blackburn 2 - 1 Millwall
Birmingham 0 - 0 Millwall
Millwall 1 - 1 Reading
Millwall 1 - 1 Cardiff
Sheff Weds 0 - 0 Millwall
Norwich 0 - 0 Millwall
Derby 1 - 1 Coventry
Derby 1 - 1 Wycombe
Middlesbrough 3 - 0 Derby
Bristol City 1 - 0 Derby
Derby 0 - 2 Barnsley
Derby 0 - 1 QPR