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Championship | Gameweek 16
Dec 5, 2020 at 3pm UK
The Den
Derby logo

Millwall
0 - 1
Derby

FT(HT: 0-0)
Knight (69')
Shinnie (34'), Bielik (58'), Waghorn (85'), Kazim-Richards (86'), Byrne (87')

The Match

Match Report

Jason Knight scored the winner for Derby, Wayne Rooney's first victory in interim charge.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
MillwallDrawDerby County
40.59%28.44%30.97%
Both teams to score 45.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.53%60.47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.4%80.6%
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.79%29.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.84%65.16%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.54%35.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.78%72.23%
Score Analysis
    Millwall 40.58%
    Derby County 30.96%
    Draw 28.42%
MillwallDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 12.74%
2-1 @ 8.13%
2-0 @ 7.84%
3-1 @ 3.34%
3-0 @ 3.22%
3-2 @ 1.73%
4-1 @ 1.03%
4-0 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 40.58%
1-1 @ 13.21%
0-0 @ 10.35%
2-2 @ 4.22%
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 28.42%
0-1 @ 10.73%
1-2 @ 6.85%
0-2 @ 5.57%
1-3 @ 2.37%
0-3 @ 1.92%
2-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 30.96%

How you voted: Millwall vs Derby

Millwall
43.8%
Draw
41.7%
Derby County
14.6%
96
Head to Head
Jun 20, 2020 1pm
Dec 14, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 22
Derby
0-1
Millwall

Martin (57')
Bradshaw (25')
Romeo (92'), Cooper (92')
Feb 20, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Derby
0-1
Millwall

Huddlestone (42'), Keogh (63')
Wallace (72')
Marshall (43'), Williams (87'), Elliott (96')
Aug 18, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 3
Millwall
2-1
Derby
Cooper (7'), Williams (20')
Cooper (61')
Nugent (73')
Nugent (72')
Jan 30, 2018 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
2Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
3Ipswich TownIpswich442612688563290
4Southampton452591185622384
5Norwich CityNorwich4521101479631673
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4520121367472072
7Hull City451913136859970
8Middlesbrough45199176861766
9Coventry CityCoventry4417131468551364
10Preston North EndPreston44189175661-563
11Bristol City451711175347662
12Cardiff CityCardiff45195215165-1462
13Swansea CitySwansea451512185964-557
14Watford451317156058256
15Sunderland45168215252056
16Millwall451511194455-1156
17Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
18Stoke CityStoke451411204560-1553
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn451311215874-1650
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds45148234268-2650
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451212215870-1248
22Birmingham CityBirmingham451211224965-1647
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45918184875-2745
RRotherham UnitedRotherham45412293287-5524


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