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Championship | Gameweek 16
Dec 5, 2020 at 3pm UK
The Den
Derby logo

Millwall
0 - 1
Derby

FT(HT: 0-0)
Knight (69')
Shinnie (34'), Bielik (58'), Waghorn (85'), Kazim-Richards (86'), Byrne (87')

The Match

Match Report

Jason Knight scored the winner for Derby, Wayne Rooney's first victory in interim charge.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
MillwallDrawDerby County
40.59%28.44%30.97%
Both teams to score 45.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.53%60.47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.4%80.6%
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.79%29.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.84%65.16%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.54%35.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.78%72.23%
Score Analysis
    Millwall 40.58%
    Derby County 30.96%
    Draw 28.42%
MillwallDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 12.74%
2-1 @ 8.13%
2-0 @ 7.84%
3-1 @ 3.34%
3-0 @ 3.22%
3-2 @ 1.73%
4-1 @ 1.03%
4-0 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 40.58%
1-1 @ 13.21%
0-0 @ 10.35%
2-2 @ 4.22%
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 28.42%
0-1 @ 10.73%
1-2 @ 6.85%
0-2 @ 5.57%
1-3 @ 2.37%
0-3 @ 1.92%
2-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 30.96%

How you voted: Millwall vs Derby

Millwall
43.8%
Draw
41.7%
Derby County
14.6%
96