Championship

Championship | Gameweek 12

Nov 21, 2020 at 3pm UK

Ashton Gate Stadium

Bristol City
1 - 0
Derby

Diedhiou (78')
Paterson (46')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Buchanan (58')

Reaction

Liam Rosenior in action for Brighton & Hove Albion on September 9, 2017

Liam Rosenior upbeat despite Derby loss to Bristol City

The former Robins player saw substitute Famara Diedhiou get the only goal at Ashton Gate.

Nov 21, 18:21

The Match

Match Report

Bristol City edge the Championship match at Ashton Gate.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship fixture between Bristol City and Derby County, including predictions, team news and lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 40.53%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bristol City in this match.

Result
Bristol City	Draw	Derby County
40.53%	26.91%	32.55%

Both teams to score 50.62%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.51%

54.48%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.15%

75.84%

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.6%

26.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.44%

61.56%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.78%

31.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.44%

67.56%

Score Analysis

Bristol City 40.53%

Derby County 32.55%

Draw 26.91%

Bristol City	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 10.97% 2-1 @ 8.51% 2-0 @ 7.31% 3-1 @ 3.78% 3-0 @ 3.25% 3-2 @ 2.2% 4-1 @ 1.26% 4-0 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.18% Total : 40.53%	1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 8.24% 2-2 @ 4.95% Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.91%	0-1 @ 9.59% 1-2 @ 7.44% 0-2 @ 5.59% 1-3 @ 2.89% 0-3 @ 2.17% 2-3 @ 1.92% Other @ 2.96% Total : 32.55%