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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 12
Nov 21, 2020 at 3pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Derby logo

Bristol City
1 - 0
Derby

Diedhiou (78')
Paterson (46')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Buchanan (58')

The Match

Match Report

Bristol City edge the Championship match at Ashton Gate.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship fixture between Bristol City and Derby County, including predictions, team news and lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 40.53%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bristol City in this match.

Result
Bristol CityDrawDerby County
40.53%26.91%32.55%
Both teams to score 50.62%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.51%54.48%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.15%75.84%
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.6%26.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.44%61.56%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.78%31.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.44%67.56%
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 40.53%
    Derby County 32.55%
    Draw 26.91%
Bristol CityDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 10.97%
2-1 @ 8.51%
2-0 @ 7.31%
3-1 @ 3.78%
3-0 @ 3.25%
3-2 @ 2.2%
4-1 @ 1.26%
4-0 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 40.53%
1-1 @ 12.77%
0-0 @ 8.24%
2-2 @ 4.95%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.91%
0-1 @ 9.59%
1-2 @ 7.44%
0-2 @ 5.59%
1-3 @ 2.89%
0-3 @ 2.17%
2-3 @ 1.92%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 32.55%

Head to Head
Feb 12, 2020 7.45pm
Aug 20, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Derby
1-2
Bristol City
Marriott (85')
Huddlestone (79'), Dowell (81')
Weimann (16'), Brownhill (45')
Brownhill (75')
Jul 14, 2019 2.30pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Bristol City
P-P
Derby
Apr 27, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 45
Bristol City
0-2
Derby

Semenyo (59')
Lawrence (18'), Bogle (77')
Bogle (21'), Mount (29'), Lawrence (63'), Bennett (93')
Dec 22, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 23
Derby
1-1
Bristol City
Waghorn (37')
Paterson (24')
Pack (13'), Pisano (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leicester CityLeicester432941081394291
2Leeds UnitedLeeds44279880374390
3Ipswich TownIpswich432611685533289
4Southampton43259985562984
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4420121267442372
6Norwich CityNorwich442191477611672
7Hull City431812136254866
8Coventry CityCoventry4217121366521463
9Middlesbrough44189176460463
10Preston North EndPreston44189175661-563
11Cardiff CityCardiff44195205061-1162
12Bristol City441611175147459
13Sunderland44168205251156
14Swansea CitySwansea441511185762-556
15Watford441217155958153
16Millwall441411194355-1253
17Stoke CityStoke441311204460-1650
18Queens Park RangersQPR441311204157-1650
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn441310215874-1649
20Plymouth ArgylePlymouth441212205869-1148
21Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds44138233968-2947
22Birmingham CityBirmingham441210224864-1646
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield44917184774-2744
RRotherham UnitedRotherham44412283285-5324


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