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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 37.7%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 35% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.12%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bristol City | Draw | Swansea City |
| 35% | 27.29% | 37.7% |
| Both teams to score 49.93% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.42% | 55.57% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.25% | 76.74% |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.84% | 30.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.69% | 66.31% |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.49% | 28.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.71% | 64.28% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol City | Draw | Swansea City |
| 1-0 @ 10.3% 2-1 @ 7.75% 2-0 @ 6.18% 3-1 @ 3.1% 3-0 @ 2.47% 3-2 @ 1.94% 4-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.33% Total : 35% | 1-1 @ 12.93% 0-0 @ 8.6% 2-2 @ 4.86% Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.29% | 0-1 @ 10.79% 1-2 @ 8.12% 0-2 @ 6.77% 1-3 @ 3.4% 0-3 @ 2.83% 2-3 @ 2.04% 1-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.7% Total : 37.7% |