Championship

Championship | Gameweek 13

Nov 25, 2020 at 7pm UK

Riverside Stadium

Middlesbrough
3 - 0
Derby

Assombalonga (33'), Clarke (71' og.), Johnson (83')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Jozwiak (9'), Lawrence (49'), Byrne (53'), Buchanan (65')

Reaction

Liam Rosenior in action for Brighton & Hove Albion on September 9, 2017

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The Match

Match Report

Boro recorded their biggest victory under boss Neil Warnock.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
Middlesbrough	Draw	Derby County
42.78%	27.21%	30.02%

Both teams to score 48.79%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.63%

56.37%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.61%

77.39%

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.92%

26.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.87%

61.13%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.01%

33.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.33%

70.67%

Score Analysis

Middlesbrough 42.77%

Derby County 30.02%

Draw 27.2%

Middlesbrough	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 11.91% 2-1 @ 8.64% 2-0 @ 8.01% 3-1 @ 3.87% 3-0 @ 3.59% 3-2 @ 2.09% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-0 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.16% Total : 42.77%	1-1 @ 12.85% 0-0 @ 8.87% 2-2 @ 4.66% Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.2%	0-1 @ 9.57% 1-2 @ 6.94% 0-2 @ 5.16% 1-3 @ 2.5% 0-3 @ 1.86% 2-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.33% Total : 30.02%