Championship

Championship | Gameweek 9

Oct 31, 2020 at 3pm UK

Riverside Stadium

Middlesbrough
1 - 0
Nott'm Forest

Johnson (81')
Morsy (17')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Figueiredo (54'), Bong (87')

Reaction

Boro boss Neil Warnock on September 11, 2020

Neil Warnock: 'Nathan Wood was faultless against Forest'

Neil Warnock hails debutant Nathan Wood after Middlesbrough win.

Oct 31, 18:33

The Match

Match Report

Marvin Johnson converted George Saville's cross with virtually his first touch.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship fixture between Middlesbrough and Nottingham Forest, including predictions, team news and lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.07%) and 2-1 (7.94%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 (11.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Middlesbrough in this match.

Result
Middlesbrough	Draw	Nottingham Forest
40.72%	29.1%	30.18%

Both teams to score 43.65%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.14%

62.86%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.63%

82.36%

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.68%

30.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.5%

66.5%

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.64%

37.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.86%

74.14%

Score Analysis

Middlesbrough 40.71%

Nottingham Forest 30.18%

Draw 29.08%

Middlesbrough	Draw	Nottingham Forest
1-0 @ 13.51% 2-0 @ 8.07% 2-1 @ 7.94% 3-0 @ 3.21% 3-1 @ 3.16% 3-2 @ 1.56% 4-0 @ 0.96% 4-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.37% Total : 40.71%	1-1 @ 13.3% 0-0 @ 11.32% 2-2 @ 3.91% Other @ 0.55% Total : 29.08%	0-1 @ 11.15% 1-2 @ 6.55% 0-2 @ 5.49% 1-3 @ 2.15% 0-3 @ 1.8% 2-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.75% Total : 30.18%