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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 37%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 35.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.96%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Norwich City |
| 37% | 27.62% | 35.38% |
| Both teams to score 48.95% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.19% | 56.81% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.25% | 77.74% |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.47% | 29.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.45% | 65.54% |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.46% | 30.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.24% | 66.76% |
| Score Analysis |
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Norwich City |
| 1-0 @ 10.99% 2-1 @ 7.96% 2-0 @ 6.71% 3-1 @ 3.24% 3-0 @ 2.73% 3-2 @ 1.92% 4-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.47% Total : 37% | 1-1 @ 13.04% 0-0 @ 9.02% 2-2 @ 4.72% Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.61% | 0-1 @ 10.69% 1-2 @ 7.74% 0-2 @ 6.34% 1-3 @ 3.06% 0-3 @ 2.51% 2-3 @ 1.87% 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.26% Total : 35.37% |