Championship

Championship | Gameweek 6

Oct 20, 2020 at 7.45pm UK

Carrow Road

Norwich
1 - 0
Birmingham

Vrancic (87')
Idah (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Clayton (50'), Dean (54'), Friend (88'), Sunjic (90')
Clayton (86')

Reaction

Norwich manager Daniel Farke pictured on October 20, 2020

Daniel Farke admits late Norwich winner over Birmingham was "big relief"

Mario Vrancic nets the winner for the Canaries.

Oct 20, 22:06

The Match

Match Report

The midfielder earns the Canaries a second successive win.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Birmingham City, including predictions and team news.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 43.58%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.79%) and 2-1 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.13%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Norwich City in this match.

Result
Norwich City	Draw	Birmingham City
43.58%	28.72%	27.7%

Both teams to score 43.47%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.49%

62.51%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.89%

82.11%

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.46%

28.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.67%

64.33%

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.83%

39.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.12%

75.88%

Score Analysis

Norwich City 43.58%

Birmingham City 27.69%

Draw 28.7%

Norwich City	Draw	Birmingham City
1-0 @ 14.01% 2-0 @ 8.79% 2-1 @ 8.24% 3-0 @ 3.67% 3-1 @ 3.44% 3-2 @ 1.61% 4-0 @ 1.15% 4-1 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.59% Total : 43.58%	1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 11.17% 2-2 @ 3.86% Other @ 0.54% Total : 28.7%	0-1 @ 10.47% 1-2 @ 6.16% 0-2 @ 4.91% 1-3 @ 1.92% 0-3 @ 1.53% 2-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.49% Total : 27.69%