Championship

Championship | Gameweek 19

Dec 16, 2020 at 5.30pm UK

Pride Park Stadium

Derby
2 - 0
Swansea

Kazim-Richards (4'), Jozwiak (37')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Ayew (67')

Reaction

Derby County's Graeme Shinnie in action with Swansea City's Korey Smith in the Championship on December 16, 2020

Wayne Rooney delighted with win over Swansea City

Derby are still in the bottom three on goal difference but are unbeaten in six since Wayne Rooney was made interim manager.

Dec 16, 21:09

The Match

Match Report

It was also the first time this season that Derby had scored twice in a game.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Derby County and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 45.65%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 26.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.99%) and 1-2 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.85%), while for a Derby County win it was 1-0 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Swansea City
26.81%	27.54%	45.65%

Both teams to score 46.02%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41%

59%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.53%

79.47%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.04%

37.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.27%

74.73%

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.18%

25.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.22%

60.78%

Score Analysis

Derby County 26.81%

Swansea City 45.65%

Draw 27.53%

Derby County	Draw	Swansea City
1-0 @ 9.49% 2-1 @ 6.23% 2-0 @ 4.6% 3-1 @ 2.01% 3-0 @ 1.48% 3-2 @ 1.36% Other @ 1.64% Total : 26.81%	1-1 @ 12.85% 0-0 @ 9.8% 2-2 @ 4.22% Other @ 0.67% Total : 27.53%	0-1 @ 13.27% 0-2 @ 8.99% 1-2 @ 8.7% 0-3 @ 4.06% 1-3 @ 3.93% 2-3 @ 1.9% 0-4 @ 1.37% 1-4 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.1% Total : 45.65%

How you voted: Derby vs Swansea

Derby County

29.8%

Draw

19.3%

Swansea City

50.9%