Derby County vs Swansea City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 45.65%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 26.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.99%) and 1-2 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.85%), while for a Derby County win it was 1-0 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.