Championship Gameweek 17
Dec 9, 2020 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Griffin Park
  • Henrik Dalsgaard 55' yellowcard
  • Josh Dasilva 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Graeme Shinnie 41'

Brentford vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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News

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Brentford

All competitions
Last game
Dec 5, 2020 3.00pm
Brentford 2 - 2 Blackburn
Goals scored
79
Top scorer
Ivan Toney

Derby County

All competitions
Last game
Dec 5, 2020 3.00pm
Millwall 0 - 1 Derby
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Colin Kazim-Richards

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 52.91%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result

Brentford 52.91%
Draw 25.09%
Derby County 22%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.28%

Goals

Over 2.5 46.27%
Under 2.5 53.73%
Over 3.5 24.79%
Under 3.5 75.21%

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5 79.7%
Under 0.5 20.3%
Over 1.5 47.34%
Under 1.5 52.66%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5 60.58%
Under 0.5 39.42%
Over 1.5 23.88%
Under 1.5 76.12%

Score analysis

Brentford 52.9%
Draw 25.08%
Derby County 22%
Brentford
1-0 @ 12.75%
2-0 @ 10.17%
2-1 @ 9.47%
3-0 @ 5.41%
3-1 @ 5.03%
3-2 @ 2.34%
4-0 @ 2.16%
4-1 @ 2.01%
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 52.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.87%
0-0 @ 8%
2-2 @ 4.41%
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 25.08%
Derby County
0-1 @ 7.45%
1-2 @ 5.53%
0-2 @ 3.47%
1-3 @ 1.72%
2-3 @ 1.37%
0-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 22%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 43
Jul 11, 2020 12.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Pride Park Stadium
  • Jason Knight 29' goal
  • Jason Knight 62' yellowcard
  • goal Ollie Watkins 3'
  • goal Said Benrahma 49'
  • goal Said Benrahma 64'
Championship Gameweek 6
Aug 31, 2019 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Bryan Mbeumo 17' goal
  • Ollie Watkins 18' goal
  • Ollie Watkins 45' goal
  • yellowcard Martyn Waghorn 45'
  • yellowcard Tom Lawrence 84'
Championship Gameweek 40
Apr 6, 2019 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 2 2
FT Griffin Park (Brentford, Middlesex)
  • Henrik Dalsgaard 15' yellowcard
  • Julian Jeanvier 23' goal
  • Neal Maupay 31' goal
  • Rico Henry 50' yellowcard
  • Said Benrahma 83' goal
  • Sergi Canos 92' yellowcard
  • goal Harry Wilson 13'
  • yellowcard Jayden Bogle 19'
  • yellowcard Bradley Johnson 22'
  • goal Jayden Bogle 26'
  • yellowcard Ashley Cole 49'
  • yellowcard Tom Lawrence 69'
  • goal Harry Wilson 78'
  • yellowcard Fikayo Tomori 92'
Championship Gameweek 9
Sep 22, 2018 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 1
FT Pride Park Stadium (Derby)
  • Harry Wilson 14' goal
  • David Nugent 21' goal
  • Mason Mount 28' goal
  • Craig Bryson 64' yellowcard
  • Mason Mount 80' yellowcard
  • goal Henrik Dalsgaard 1'
  • yellowcard Chris Mepham 27'
Championship
Feb 3, 2018 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Tom Huddlestone 31' goal
  • Cameron Jerome 34' goal
  • Cameron Jerome 63' yellowcard
  • Matej Vydra 90' goal
  • Marcus Olsson 90' yellowcard
  • redcard Sergi Canos 21'
  • yellowcard Ryan Woods 37'
  • yellowcard Andreas Bjelland 71'
Championship
Sep 26, 2017 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Ryan Woods 30' yellowcard
  • Henrik Dalsgaard 36' yellowcard
  • Ollie Watkins 45' yellowcard
  • Ollie Watkins 86' goal
  • goal Joe Ledley 15'
  • yellowcard Craig Forsyth 25'
  • yellowcard Andre Wisdom 30'
  • yellowcard Bradley Johnson 30'
  • yellowcard Sam Winnall 37'
  • yellowcard Richard Keogh 76'