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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 52.91%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Brentford | Draw | Derby County |
52.91% | 25.09% | 22% |
Both teams to score 48.28% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.27% | 53.73% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.79% | 75.21% |
Brentford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.7% | 20.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.34% | 52.66% |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.58% | 39.42% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.88% | 76.12% |
Score Analysis |
Brentford | Draw | Derby County |
1-0 @ 12.75% 2-0 @ 10.17% 2-1 @ 9.47% 3-0 @ 5.41% 3-1 @ 5.03% 3-2 @ 2.34% 4-0 @ 2.16% 4-1 @ 2.01% 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.62% Total : 52.9% | 1-1 @ 11.87% 0-0 @ 8% 2-2 @ 4.41% Other @ 0.8% Total : 25.08% | 0-1 @ 7.45% 1-2 @ 5.53% 0-2 @ 3.47% 1-3 @ 1.72% 2-3 @ 1.37% 0-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.4% Total : 22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leicester CityLeicester | 44 | 30 | 4 | 10 | 86 | 39 | 47 | 94 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 44 | 27 | 9 | 8 | 80 | 37 | 43 | 90 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 43 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 85 | 53 | 32 | 89 |
4 | Southampton | 44 | 25 | 9 | 10 | 85 | 61 | 24 | 84 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 44 | 20 | 12 | 12 | 67 | 44 | 23 | 72 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 44 | 21 | 9 | 14 | 77 | 61 | 16 | 72 |
7 | Hull City | 43 | 18 | 12 | 13 | 62 | 54 | 8 | 66 |
8 | Coventry CityCoventry | 42 | 17 | 12 | 13 | 66 | 52 | 14 | 63 |
9 | Middlesbrough | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 64 | 60 | 4 | 63 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 56 | 61 | -5 | 63 |
11 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 44 | 19 | 5 | 20 | 50 | 61 | -11 | 62 |
12 | Bristol City | 44 | 16 | 11 | 17 | 51 | 47 | 4 | 59 |
13 | Sunderland | 44 | 16 | 8 | 20 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 56 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 44 | 15 | 11 | 18 | 57 | 62 | -5 | 56 |
15 | Watford | 44 | 12 | 17 | 15 | 59 | 58 | 1 | 53 |
16 | Millwall | 44 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 53 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 44 | 13 | 11 | 20 | 44 | 60 | -16 | 50 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 44 | 13 | 11 | 20 | 41 | 57 | -16 | 50 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 44 | 13 | 10 | 21 | 58 | 74 | -16 | 49 |
20 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 44 | 12 | 12 | 20 | 58 | 69 | -11 | 48 |
21 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 44 | 13 | 8 | 23 | 39 | 68 | -29 | 47 |
22 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 44 | 12 | 10 | 22 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 46 |
23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 44 | 9 | 17 | 18 | 47 | 74 | -27 | 44 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 44 | 4 | 12 | 28 | 32 | 85 | -53 | 24 |
> Championship Full Table |