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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 40.7%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Swansea City |
| 40.7% | 26.8% | 32.5% |
| Both teams to score 50.96% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.95% | 54.05% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.52% | 75.48% |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.88% | 26.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.82% | 61.18% |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.97% | 31.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.66% | 67.34% |
| Score Analysis |
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Swansea City |
| 1-0 @ 10.88% 2-1 @ 8.55% 2-0 @ 7.31% 3-1 @ 3.83% 3-0 @ 3.27% 3-2 @ 2.24% 4-1 @ 1.28% 4-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.25% Total : 40.69% | 1-1 @ 12.73% 0-0 @ 8.1% 2-2 @ 5% Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.8% | 0-1 @ 9.48% 1-2 @ 7.45% 0-2 @ 5.55% 1-3 @ 2.91% 0-3 @ 2.16% 2-3 @ 1.95% Other @ 3% Total : 32.5% |