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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 43.59%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.6%) and 2-1 (8.42%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barnsley | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
| 43.59% | 28.15% | 28.26% |
| Both teams to score 45.25% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.57% | 60.43% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.44% | 80.56% |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.46% | 27.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.94% | 63.05% |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.46% | 37.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.67% | 74.32% |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnsley | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
| 1-0 @ 13.33% 2-0 @ 8.6% 2-1 @ 8.42% 3-0 @ 3.7% 3-1 @ 3.62% 3-2 @ 1.77% 4-0 @ 1.19% 4-1 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.79% Total : 43.58% | 1-1 @ 13.06% 0-0 @ 10.34% 2-2 @ 4.13% Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.15% | 0-1 @ 10.13% 1-2 @ 6.4% 0-2 @ 4.96% 1-3 @ 2.09% 0-3 @ 1.62% 2-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 1.71% Total : 28.26% |