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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff City | Draw | Barnsley |
| 38.03% | 27.53% | 34.45% |
| Both teams to score 49.14% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.46% | 56.54% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.47% | 77.53% |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.22% | 28.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.37% | 64.64% |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69% | 31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.7% | 67.3% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff City | Draw | Barnsley |
| 1-0 @ 11.11% 2-1 @ 8.1% 2-0 @ 6.92% 3-1 @ 3.36% 3-0 @ 2.87% 3-2 @ 1.97% 4-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.64% Total : 38.02% | 1-1 @ 13.01% 0-0 @ 8.92% 2-2 @ 4.75% Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.52% | 0-1 @ 10.45% 1-2 @ 7.62% 0-2 @ 6.12% 1-3 @ 2.98% 0-3 @ 2.39% 2-3 @ 1.85% Other @ 3.04% Total : 34.45% |