Championship

Championship | Gameweek 10

Nov 4, 2020 at 7.45pm UK

The City Ground

Nott'm Forest
2 - 1
Coventry

McKenna (30'), Taylor (90+6' pen.)
Sow (18')

FT(HT: 1-0)

O'Hare (57')
Skiri Oestigaard (85'), McFadzean (90+6')

Reaction

Nottingham Forest manager Chris Hughton pictured on October 20, 2020

Chris Hughton wants Nottingham Forest to build on win over Coventry City

The Sky Blues looked like the side most likely to win the game until Lyle Taylor's last-gasp penalty.

Nov 4, 23:33

The Match

Match Report

Callum O'Hare's 57th-minute header had cancelled out a first-half goal from Scott McKenna.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship fixture between Nottingham Forest and Coventry City, including predictions, team news and lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (10.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest would win this match.

Result
Nottingham Forest	Draw	Coventry City
40.55%	27.99%	31.45%

Both teams to score 47.08%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.2%

58.8%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.69%

79.32%

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.58%

28.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.82%

64.18%

Coventry City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.78%

34.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.09%

70.91%

Score Analysis

Nottingham Forest 40.55%

Coventry City 31.45%

Draw 27.99%

Nottingham Forest	Draw	Coventry City
1-0 @ 12.23% 2-1 @ 8.25% 2-0 @ 7.7% 3-1 @ 3.46% 3-0 @ 3.23% 3-2 @ 1.86% 4-1 @ 1.09% 4-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.73% Total : 40.55%	1-1 @ 13.12% 0-0 @ 9.73% 2-2 @ 4.43% Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.99%	0-1 @ 10.43% 1-2 @ 7.04% 0-2 @ 5.59% 1-3 @ 2.52% 0-3 @ 2% 2-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.3% Total : 31.45%