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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 37.04%. A win for Watford had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.76%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (11.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Barnsley in this match.
| Result | ||
| Barnsley | Draw | Watford |
| 37.04% | 28.44% | 34.53% |
| Both teams to score 46.45% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.11% | 59.89% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.85% | 80.15% |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.96% | 31.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.65% | 67.35% |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.35% | 32.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.8% | 69.2% |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnsley | Draw | Watford |
| 1-0 @ 11.85% 2-1 @ 7.76% 2-0 @ 6.94% 3-1 @ 3.03% 3-0 @ 2.71% 3-2 @ 1.7% Other @ 3.05% Total : 37.03% | 1-1 @ 13.27% 0-0 @ 10.13% 2-2 @ 4.35% Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.43% | 0-1 @ 11.34% 1-2 @ 7.43% 0-2 @ 6.35% 1-3 @ 2.77% 0-3 @ 2.37% 2-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.65% Total : 34.52% |