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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 28.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Barnsley |
| 44.35% | 27.15% | 28.49% |
| Both teams to score 48.16% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.2% | 56.8% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.26% | 77.73% |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.53% | 25.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.7% | 60.3% |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.61% | 35.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.85% | 72.14% |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City | Draw | Barnsley |
| 1-0 @ 12.32% 2-1 @ 8.76% 2-0 @ 8.43% 3-1 @ 3.99% 3-0 @ 3.84% 3-2 @ 2.07% 4-1 @ 1.37% 4-0 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.25% Total : 44.34% | 1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 9.01% 2-2 @ 4.55% Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.15% | 0-1 @ 9.36% 1-2 @ 6.65% 0-2 @ 4.86% 1-3 @ 2.3% 0-3 @ 1.68% 2-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.05% Total : 28.49% |