Championship

Championship | Gameweek 4

Oct 3, 2020 at 3pm UK

Riverside Stadium

Middlesbrough
2 - 1
Barnsley

Howson (45+2'), Akpom (48')
Tavernier (9'), Morsy (27'), Howson (52'), McNair (61'), Saville (68'), Bettinelli (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Woodrow (89' pen.)
Styles (49'), Simoes (90+3')

Reaction

Boro boss Neil Warnock on September 11, 2020

Neil Warnock delighted to mark milestone game with a win

Boro beat Barnsley at the Riverside.

Oct 3, 17:32

The Match

Match Report

Goals from Jonny Howson and Chuba Akpom secured his first home league win as Middlesbrough boss.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Barnsley, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 40.51%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
Middlesbrough	Draw	Barnsley
40.51%	26.2%	33.28%

Both teams to score 53.07%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.55%

51.45%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.74%

73.26%

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.97%

25.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.3%

59.69%

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.78%

29.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.83%

65.16%

Score Analysis

Middlesbrough 40.5%

Barnsley 33.28%

Draw 26.2%

Middlesbrough	Draw	Barnsley
1-0 @ 10.12% 2-1 @ 8.63% 2-0 @ 7.02% 3-1 @ 3.99% 3-0 @ 3.24% 3-2 @ 2.45% 4-1 @ 1.38% 4-0 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.55% Total : 40.5%	1-1 @ 12.46% 0-0 @ 7.31% 2-2 @ 5.31% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.2%	0-1 @ 9% 1-2 @ 7.67% 0-2 @ 5.53% 1-3 @ 3.15% 0-3 @ 2.27% 2-3 @ 2.18% 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.52% Total : 33.28%