Middlesbrough vs Barnsley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 40.51%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.