EFL Cup
Sep 23, 2020 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Bet365 Stadium
  • Tyrese Campbell 37' goal
  • James McClean 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Christian Maghoma 90'
  • yellowcard Ryan Jackson 90'

Stoke City vs Gillingham - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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News

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City

All competitions

Gillingham

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stoke City in this match.

Result

Stoke City 42.12%
Draw 27.18%
Gillingham 30.7%

Both Teams to Score: 

49.18%

Goals

Over 2.5 43.98%
Under 2.5 56.02%
Over 3.5 22.89%
Under 3.5 77.1%

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5 73.74%
Under 0.5 26.26%
Over 1.5 38.62%
Under 1.5 61.37%

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5 66.69%
Under 0.5 33.3%
Over 1.5 30.08%
Under 1.5 69.92%

Score analysis

Stoke City 42.11%
Draw 27.17%
Gillingham 30.7%
Stoke City
1-0 @ 11.69%
2-1 @ 8.6%
2-0 @ 7.82%
3-1 @ 3.83%
3-0 @ 3.48%
3-2 @ 2.11%
4-1 @ 1.28%
4-0 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 42.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.85%
0-0 @ 8.75%
2-2 @ 4.73%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.17%
Gillingham
0-1 @ 9.62%
1-2 @ 7.07%
0-2 @ 5.29%
1-3 @ 2.59%
0-3 @ 1.94%
2-3 @ 1.73%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 30.7%

Head to Head

Championship
Mar 15, 2005 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jay McEveley 2' goal
  • Paul Smith 70' goal
  • Michael Flynn 77' yellowcard
  • Paul Smith 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dave Brammer 47'
  • goal Kenwyne Jones 54'
  • yellowcard Gerry Taggart 78'
  • yellowcard Michael Duberry 82'
Championship
Aug 21, 2004 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • John Halls 40' yellowcard
  • Gifton Noel-Williams 42' goal
  • Ade Akinbiyi 72' goal
  • yellowcard John Hills 27'